TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim Red Forceof T1, Nongshim Red Force
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,003,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,052,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,003,447 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 636 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe548…a9febacked Nongshim Red Force25c49,403$12,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,052.5617555.4%97 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nongshim Red Force14c44,381$6,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,985.841,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked T173c42,837$31,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,230.1867553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Nongshim Red Force79c32,040$25,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,842.7289347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked Nongshim Red Force21c31,438$6,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,802.7325944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked T174c26,665$19,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,698.7396048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5445…53bdbacked T10c25,830$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked Nongshim Red Force26c21,367$5,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,811.5525453.5%136 W · 118 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nongshim Red Force14c15,309$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,236.112,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Nongshim Red Force5c14,081$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,404.8920546.8%96 W · 109 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Nongshim Red Force24c12,965$3,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,836.431,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed T174c12,500$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,249.9722355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Nongshim Red Force16c10,484$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,837.7612036.7%44 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed T152c10,477$5,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,454.443442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe98a…edffbacked Nongshim Red Force2c10,100$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,883.893826.3%10 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+311.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed T11c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%0 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x890b…1979backed T173c9,704$7,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,110.813852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x141a…d05abacked T167c9,120$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,079.5121968%149 W · 70 L+28.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Nongshim Red Force25c9,086$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,814.491,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Nongshim Red Force28c9,058$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,521.6517348%83 W · 90 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Nongshim Red Force42c8,792$3,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,098.5164247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked T176c8,685$6,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,576.733655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Nongshim Red Force21c7,604$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,030.341,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Nongshim Red Force25c7,500$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,624.9429443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Nongshim Red Force15c7,139$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,054.0432045.6%146 W · 174 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Nongshim Red Force28c7,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.932234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed Nongshim Red Force51c6,948$3,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,404.6116646.4%77 W · 89 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Nongshim Red Force29c6,686$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,735.441,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed T131c6,619$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.652958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd967…1409backed T170c6,364$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,467.0612160.3%73 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Nongshim Red Force25c6,013$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,502.5354756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed T174c6,000$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,440.018951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed T175c6,000$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,49031953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed T175c5,725$4,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,322.2135448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked T175c5,700$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,275.1630357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Nongshim Red Force36c5,591$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,574.0129945.8%137 W · 162 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked T175c5,578$4,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,174.5563944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Nongshim Red Force26c5,529$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,113.4347533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed T177c5,365$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,130.2216162.1%100 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Nongshim Red Force8c5,000$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,586.084020%8 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed T140c5,000$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.717241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Nongshim Red Force26c5,000$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,716.6453355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim Red Force25c5,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.943,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Nongshim Red Force30c5,000$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.2923445.7%107 W · 127 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nongshim Red Force25c4,997$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,736.932,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked T175c4,708$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.0370162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T180c4,668$3,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,734.1191854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Nongshim Red Force43c4,573$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.185742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Nongshim Red Force25c4,549$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.297427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Nongshim Red Force25c4,481$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.5247838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Nongshim Red Force27c4,260$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.9838235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed T174c4,117$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,046.8389943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T175c4,012$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00059558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed T175c4,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Nongshim Red Force26c4,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96030321.8%66 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed T149c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96048533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4202…9d36backed T175c4,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed T172c4,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.9557957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed T176c3,947$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00021056.7%119 W · 91 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d21…b3cfbacked T170c3,944$2,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.835659%210 W · 146 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed T172c3,631$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.1643837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked Nongshim Red Force26c3,173$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.086731.3%21 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Nongshim Red Force56c3,072$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.8828544.9%128 W · 157 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed T126c3,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.1755639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Nongshim Red Force32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04011435.1%40 W · 74 L+0.5wins0.00per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nongshim Red Force22c2,989$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.741,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Nongshim Red Force25c2,900$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1751,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked T170c2,822$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.1418459.8%110 W · 74 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…38cebacked T168c2,816$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.63875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed T173c2,729$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.459853.1%52 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T163c2,638$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.682,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed T159c2,633$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.4320547.8%98 W · 107 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Nongshim Red Force10c2,572$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.3167115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Nongshim Red Force2c2,500$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45014841.2%61 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea4…be49backed Nongshim Red Force5c2,500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,37512717.3%22 W · 105 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Nongshim Red Force24c2,488$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.0422048.2%106 W · 114 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed T170c2,461$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.0434658.1%201 W · 145 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim Red Force25c2,425$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.452,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Nongshim Red Force3c2,410$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.831487.4%11 W · 137 L+0.3wins0.00per pick7cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Nongshim Red Force17c2,221$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.0640726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba4f…b37bbacked T171c2,155$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.754055%22 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed T168c2,106$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.2546436.4%169 W · 295 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed Nongshim Red Force48c2,095$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.156342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked T167c2,067$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.3649841.6%207 W · 291 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed T156c2,062$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.781,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x823b…59e9backed Nongshim Red Force56c2,050$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.2612450%62 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ab…ee2bbacked Nongshim Red Force31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3802744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Nongshim Red Force3c2,000$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,94021828.4%62 W · 156 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Nongshim Red Force26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48032145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Nongshim Red Force26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4802,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Nongshim Red Force24c1,986$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.1728836.8%106 W · 182 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Nongshim Red Force26c1,986$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.911,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed T175c1,982$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.251,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked T130c1,966$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.711,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed T152c1,875$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.868726.4%23 W · 64 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Nongshim Red Force31c1,834$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.7612843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Nongshim Red Force12c1,826$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.4234237.7%129 W · 213 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Nongshim Red Force29c1,823$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.435442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…22acbacked Nongshim Red Force14c1,821$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.8311357.5%65 W · 48 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Nongshim Red Force25c1,817$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.7559554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.