Lol · resolved market
LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2d75fa84edb057b89373fc527d1e6ee01605ac91fefcdfcc5f85f2d2789f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Contingent Esportsof Blue Otter, Contingent Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Contingent Esports | 54c | 8,142$4,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.66 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed Blue Otter | 79c | 3,835$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.23 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Blue Otter | 46c | 3,353$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.58 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed Blue Otter | 39c | 3,024$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.6 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Blue Otter | 48c | 2,893$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.79 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Contingent Esports | 69c | 2,417$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.67 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Contingent Esports | 57c | 2,114$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.04 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Contingent Esports | 54c | 2,069$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.13 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Blue Otter | 49c | 2,006$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.32 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Contingent Esports | 35c | 1,846$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.45 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…db20backed Contingent Esports | 57c | 1,750$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.49 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Blue Otter | 44c | 1,680$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.36 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Blue Otter | 46c | 1,602$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.77 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Contingent Esports | 39c | 1,582$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.25 | 221 | 46.6%103 W · 118 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Blue Otter | 36c | 1,457$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.6 | 404 | 46%186 W · 218 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Contingent Esports | 54c | 1,341$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.88 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Contingent Esports | 65c | 1,266$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.22 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Blue Otter | 40c | 1,239$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Blue Otter | 69c | 1,227$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.71 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Blue Otter | 28c | 1,201$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Blue Otter | 38c | 1,051$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Blue Otter | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.9 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Blue Otter | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Contingent Esports | 75c | 902.52$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.84 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Contingent Esports | 55c | 807.3$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.73 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Blue Otter | 24c | 750$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.88 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blue Otter | 35c | 713.22$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.74 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Contingent Esports | 60c | 700.12$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.3 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Blue Otter | 70c | 641.61$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.6 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Blue Otter | 46c | 618.28$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.94 | 668 | 45.5%304 W · 364 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Blue Otter | 38c | 615$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.25 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Blue Otter | 29c | 593.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.61 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked Blue Otter | 46c | 574$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.04 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Blue Otter | 35c | 572.38$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.11 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Blue Otter | 36c | 560$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Contingent Esports | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 381 | 57.5%219 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Contingent Esports | 57c | 543.64$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Contingent Esports | 58c | 542.78$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.47 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Contingent Esports | 51c | 539.46$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.62 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…f500backed Contingent Esports | 63c | 522.65$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Blue Otter | 39c | 517.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 267 | 65.9%176 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Blue Otter | 29c | 513.01$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Contingent Esports | 61c | 500$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Blue Otter | 47c | 490.36$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.47 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Contingent Esports | 24c | 479.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.17 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Contingent Esports | 25c | 473$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.88 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…28dcbacked Blue Otter | 70c | 426.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Blue Otter | 47c | 420.78$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Blue Otter | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Contingent Esports | 46c | 389.18$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Blue Otter | 18c | 384$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 333 | 32.7%109 W · 224 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Contingent Esports | 58c | 356.85$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Contingent Esports | 53c | 332.44$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed Contingent Esports | 60c | 332.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Blue Otter | 28c | 330$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Contingent Esports | 54c | 329$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Contingent Esports | 53c | 328.97$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Blue Otter | 80c | 314.46$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.57 | 48 | 75%36 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Blue Otter | 45c | 305.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Contingent Esports | 53c | 303.13$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Blue Otter | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Blue Otter | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Blue Otter | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 350 | 45.1%158 W · 192 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Contingent Esports | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Contingent Esports | 56c | 298.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.9 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Blue Otter | 47c | 298.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Blue Otter | 45c | 293.26$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Blue Otter | 46c | 280$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…8d1cbacked Contingent Esports | 56c | 265.54$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed Blue Otter | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Contingent Esports | 65c | 250$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Contingent Esports | 32c | 236.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Blue Otter | 34c | 228.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Blue Otter | 54c | 221.31$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Contingent Esports | 60c | 211.17$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 465 | 62.4%290 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Contingent Esports | 54c | 206.09$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Contingent Esports | 28c | 206$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Blue Otter | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bf63backed Blue Otter | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…4a11backed Blue Otter | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Contingent Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Blue Otter | 14c | 199.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Contingent Esports | 52c | 195.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Contingent Esports | 54c | 195$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Contingent Esports | 52c | 185.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Contingent Esports | 67c | 183.58$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 256 | 60.5%155 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Contingent Esports | 58c | 181$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Contingent Esports | 61c | 180.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Contingent Esports | 73c | 180.67$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Blue Otter | 35c | 173.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Contingent Esports | 49c | 166.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed Contingent Esports | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Blue Otter | 46c | 152.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…81b0backed Contingent Esports | 74c | 150.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Blue Otter | 39c | 147.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 320 | 36.9%118 W · 202 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Contingent Esports | 33c | 136.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac12…bb91backed Contingent Esports | 30c | 134.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Contingent Esports | 38c | 131.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Contingent Esports | 64c | 130.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747d…73b7backed Blue Otter | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagethis page
- LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 WinnerBlue Otter won
- LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 WinnerContingent Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.