Lol · resolved market
LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x222f439be1ac5f264deed68af6b63c2accb9c4d0477a6e47904cb563aa10ae42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Otterof Blue Otter, Contingent Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Contingent Esports | 29c | 5,972$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.45 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Blue Otter | 51c | 3,693$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.8 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Blue Otter | 73c | 1,505$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.11 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Blue Otter | 67c | 1,330$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.85 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Blue Otter | 64c | 1,173$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.55 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Blue Otter | 67c | 788.36$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.16 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Contingent Esports | 21c | 747.69$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.46 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Contingent Esports | 51c | 699.72$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.69 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Contingent Esports | 49c | 666$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.24 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Contingent Esports | 49c | 613.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Blue Otter | 76c | 593$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.32 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Contingent Esports | 54c | 542.5$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.64 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed Contingent Esports | 32c | 540$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Contingent Esports | 34c | 506.16$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.39 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Contingent Esports | 51c | 492.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Contingent Esports | 15c | 469.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Blue Otter | 66c | 450$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Blue Otter | 51c | 411.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 468 | 46.8%219 W · 249 L | -23.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Blue Otter | 47c | 405.75$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.05 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Blue Otter | 76c | 365.91$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Contingent Esports | 31c | 360.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Contingent Esports | 48c | 344.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Blue Otter | 51c | 315.62$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Blue Otter | 45c | 305$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.75 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…0bd8backed Contingent Esports | 14c | 276.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Blue Otter | 69c | 246.22$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Blue Otter | 48c | 207.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Contingent Esports | 49c | 201.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bf63backed Contingent Esports | 12c | 199.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Contingent Esports | 20c | 194$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 333 | 32.7%109 W · 224 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747d…73b7backed Contingent Esports | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Blue Otter | 76c | 161.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Contingent Esports | 35c | 159.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Contingent Esports | 27c | 154.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Blue Otter | 49c | 143.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Contingent Esports | 56c | 133.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Contingent Esports | 34c | 127$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Contingent Esports | 37c | 126.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Contingent Esports | 20c | 118.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…c423backed Blue Otter | 61c | 112.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Contingent Esports | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Contingent Esports | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Blue Otter | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Blue Otter | 50c | 85.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Contingent Esports | 40c | 85.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Contingent Esports | 13c | 85.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…f560backed Blue Otter | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Contingent Esports | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Contingent Esports | 24c | 76.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Blue Otter | 76c | 76.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked Contingent Esports | 25c | 64.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Blue Otter | 50c | 63.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…7c09backed Blue Otter | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…e4e7backed Blue Otter | 76c | 56.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Contingent Esports | 35c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Blue Otter | 59c | 50.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Contingent Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Contingent Esports | 27c | 44.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Blue Otter | 47c | 42.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 529 | 45.9%243 W · 286 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Blue Otter | 68c | 38.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 444 | 61.7%274 W · 170 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Blue Otter | 77c | 37.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Blue Otter | 67c | 37.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Blue Otter | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Blue Otter | 77c | 35.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Blue Otter | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Blue Otter | 44c | 33.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Blue Otter | 71c | 30.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Blue Otter | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Blue Otter | 71c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageContingent Esports won
- LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 WinnerContingent Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.