TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under62c13,905$8,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,290.614346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under65c9,419$6,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.276134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c9,040$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.491,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over67c8,063$5,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,385.138155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under51c7,800$3,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.264757.4%27 W · 20 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+26.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over28c6,023$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.2146741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over36c5,786$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.93046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b7b…6e86backed Under71c4,060$2,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over48c3,877$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.651315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c3,658$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.621,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under66c3,294$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.3572335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over42c2,984$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.963342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over14c2,821$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.26966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over24c2,726$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.463369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over37c2,596$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.8916440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over29c2,382$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.4839743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under60c2,352$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.3244033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over1c2,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56014532.4%47 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under57c1,370$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.418736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over56c1,356$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.63148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Over36c1,221$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.111540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over25c1,152$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under72c1,132$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.066048.3%29 W · 31 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under54c1,112$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.681844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over28c1,074$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.292839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under76c1,011$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.866844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under32c904.75$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.523735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+46.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under35c874.46$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.483522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+101.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under34c754.49$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.092334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over47c738.3$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.986232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x584a…8b8abacked Over47c723.94$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under58c686.03$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8216743.7%73 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb3…0289backed Under79c635.93$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Over43c622.74$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.782128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c573.47$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5543252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Over42c512.65$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.942941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Over43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over62c450$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.1120241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under59c439$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4660136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under43c434.79$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.711758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over35c428.52$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+79.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed Under59c428.51$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.712661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over75c399.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006470.3%45 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under39c389.45$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.564065%26 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under58c372.24$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0524545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over62c369.53$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5688631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under77c366.23$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.233243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x834c…593abacked Over25c364.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over38c320.4$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1917443.7%76 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over56c300$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.255538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over28c286.7$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over20c285$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.031723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6460…13cebacked Over43c257.34$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over78c256.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under69c255.8$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5217058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Under38c254.62$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.014654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over79c254$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006363.5%40 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd682…2c16backed Under80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under69c249.93$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6330856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under38c231.22$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2117848.9%87 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over43c229.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.997540%30 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under29c229.67$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.28650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under61c208.55$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.353253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ba…dc2bbacked Over24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-61.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.186046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Under58c197.5$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.572445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Over51c192.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.191346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under73c186.81$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.587345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over54c185.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.963467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Over54c182.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.321560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over76c179.84$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.473354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Over36c178.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.441553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over54c177.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0811741%48 W · 69 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under75c177.08$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.275459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6522…5ab3backed Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over38c169.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8732843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Over37c165.07$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.151258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008750.6%44 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011464.9%74 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c9…28dcbacked Over23c132.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Over27c124.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.611968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over22c119$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8321217%36 W · 176 L-37.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.3%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under39c115.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7229746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x383f…5631backed Over40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442532%8 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd9…cbffbacked Under62c108.36$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over70c100.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0770%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under38c99.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6252046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under59c94.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7314645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Over22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+900%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5538142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over65c83.12$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.754077.5%31 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under48c81.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.27339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under58c80.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9215954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Over27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.62245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea6…9223backed Over27c69.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.12425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2254…92eebacked Over51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under60c65.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2114353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.