Champions League · resolved market
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x539f34d170c4f5ef0af3097156af6dcf4f0ef5de4de5df91936163ba2bb2f552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,711$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 52c | 3,657$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.27 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 1c | 3,600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 1,863$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.99 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 2c | 1,776$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 1,365$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.4 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…28dcbacked Over | 74c | 809.95$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 48c | 644.25$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.3 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Under | 44c | 613.11$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 55c | 454.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.53 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb3…0289backed Under | 49c | 405.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…adc5backed Under | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 389.17$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 16c | 345.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 57c | 302.12$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.58 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 248.2$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 45c | 214.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…f38fbacked Over | 44c | 198.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 42c | 171.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 17c | 162$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 48c | 137.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 48c | 137.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 18c | 133.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 54c | 123$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 54c | 110.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…dc2bbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 19c | 97.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 49c | 93.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Under | 17c | 82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 80c | 68.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Over | 54c | 60.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Under | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd852…6267backed Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 52c | 28.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 50c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Under | 50c | 20.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 55c | 18.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…5bd1backed Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 1.5this page
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: KF Víkingur O/U 0.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 3.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 4.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 5.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Team to AdvanceMH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-1.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-2.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.