Champions League · resolved market
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f30caa0b7683ece96a2cc5986e8474a29c140e349ccc4a885ce1c3ba354aeda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,842$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.23 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,588$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,253$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.96 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 1,145$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.02 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 71c | 1,038$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.52 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 37c | 943.48$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.95 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 61c | 812.2$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked No | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 40c | 495.74$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.71 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 38c | 367.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.61 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 337.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 30c | 297.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 65c | 239.17$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 38c | 237$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 69c | 216.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 58c | 168.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 157.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 59c | 156$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 60c | 141.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 58c | 127.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 37c | 113$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 59c | 98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 44c | 90.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 71c | 90.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 89.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 57c | 73.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 62c | 67.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 50c | 53.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 47c | 44.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked No | 33c | 42.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +418.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 62c | 40.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 34.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 53c | 20.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 75c | 17.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 61c | 17.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: KF Víkingur O/U 0.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 1.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 3.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 4.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 5.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Team to AdvanceMH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-1.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-2.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.