Champions League · resolved market
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20000f6d3fbc0e9646f9448f9f241b1800bb38fbed8fd93c9b6cbe7f0f212509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 17c | 1,936$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.58 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 1,609$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.76 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 1,259$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 8c | 960$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 9c | 671.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 80c | 437.51$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.21 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 4c | 420.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 18c | 266.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Over | 78c | 158.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 75cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…28dcbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 28c | 51.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 74c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 0.5this page
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: KF Víkingur O/U 0.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 1.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 3.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 4.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 5.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Team to AdvanceMH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-1.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-2.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.