TailMyPicks

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Champions League · resolved market

MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MH Hapoel Be'er Shevaof MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva, KF Víkingur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1f3…d99cbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva50c2,381$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.353839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva48c1,983$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.13944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed KF Víkingur51c1,438$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.1388137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed KF Víkingur52c1,036$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.492147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48b…fdc2backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva51c1,000$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed KF Víkingur51c910.99$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.5160648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva48c812.5$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.55843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed KF Víkingur50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva46c781.45$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.0816741.9%70 W · 97 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed KF Víkingur50c772.4$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.4361447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed KF Víkingur52c769.48$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.7131342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed KF Víkingur49c733.97$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6448947.6%233 W · 256 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked KF Víkingur52c552.56$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.446761.2%41 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KF Víkingur34c498.69$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6737753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02cf…813cbacked KF Víkingur48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2044332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+77.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…5d2ebacked KF Víkingur51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked KF Víkingur50c374.96$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4842647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva49c352.18$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.61650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva53c340.5$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.765743.9%25 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d8b…3b0ebacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva50c299.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva46c288.01$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.531936.8%7 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+217%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva51c275$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.752128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa946…7bc4backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva46c260.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41de…deedbacked KF Víkingur49c259.88$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.341931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-37.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.291163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva51c215.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.699440.4%38 W · 56 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva51c205.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.889650%48 W · 48 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva46c168.88$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4259136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5f4…d4b0backed KF Víkingur50c165.42$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.71837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed KF Víkingur50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa7…8332backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x743c…c386backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.21040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed KF Víkingur51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.13253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb8…90e8backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva49c102.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312c…ceecbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva51c102.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.21650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva49c98.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6452046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked KF Víkingur48c97.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.792528%7 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d18…3c24backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva52c77.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick37cpaid+236.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva52c71.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1729858.4%174 W · 124 L+17.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed KF Víkingur54c70.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3231047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa020…d807backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-72%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed KF Víkingur54c67.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6287531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4de8…4c11backed KF Víkingur50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed KF Víkingur50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.136248.6%176 W · 186 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd1…6fe4backed KF Víkingur50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeca…a1b7backed KF Víkingur53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva47c49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0163150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bff…cb72backed KF Víkingur50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked KF Víkingur50c46.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd861…672cbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c3…e829backed KF Víkingur50c42.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked KF Víkingur49c39.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4140250.7%204 W · 198 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed KF Víkingur51c38.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5913037.7%49 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d3…4a93backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva48c37.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eac…de53backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33ea…fa08backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…0cf9backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva47c29.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35ba…4390backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a2…362bbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva51c29.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe567…f0cfbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva50c28.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x765b…5043backed KF Víkingur53c28.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60f2…9a13backed KF Víkingur50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb5…3444backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva50c27.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0869…1b8fbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva47c25.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48dd…4f2abacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed KF Víkingur51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.712147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfda1…06a4backed KF Víkingur50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2e…4fe6backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.