Champions League · resolved market
Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66a8b162e0a839d0c698a5fc08336baa1b1f679b78de4322fab621a44ebe29d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 24c | 7,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 20c | 6,791$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.41 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 2,472$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.33 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 2,359$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.35 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 6c | 2,214$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 1,470$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 1,370$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.88 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 1,360$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 76c | 1,315$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.6 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 1,208$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,005$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 9c | 1,001$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 968.23$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.78 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 687.29$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 76c | 585$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 77c | 560$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 25c | 463.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 78c | 431.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 400$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 251$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Yes | 17c | 244.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 239.79$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 76c | 210.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 77c | 177.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…b317backed No | 77c | 144.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 139$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 21c | 127.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 77c | 116.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 79c | 75.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 27c | 65.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8130…8a46backed Yes | 25c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked No | 79c | 54.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 79c | 45.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…b727backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 36.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7723…aceebacked No | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143e…dababacked No | 76c | 27.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…2c78backed No | 76c | 26.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 23.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed No | 76c | 23.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d17…a671backed No | 77c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 17.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed No | 77c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 73c | 15.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed No | 76c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?this page
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?Yes won
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.