World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7017b198e9fe1cb35717f94aa70a1761abbb5a644f49f4837fb50cfa3359c312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbec…808bbacked Yes | 43c | 2,388$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.91 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 44c | 818.09$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.06 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 659.22$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.31 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 70c | 589.87$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.24 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 61c | 577.29$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.68 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 50c | 399.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 21c | 322.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 60c | 322.07$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 63c | 274$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 255.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 25c | 246.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 47c | 240.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed No | 56c | 225.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 224.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Yes | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 62c | 217$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 21c | 214.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…54e9backed Yes | 39c | 208.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 34c | 180.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 61c | 158.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…14f8backed No | 70c | 157.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…9bf0backed Yes | 45c | 153.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 71c | 150.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…434fbacked Yes | 38c | 148.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…daeebacked Yes | 67c | 145.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 14c | 143.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 27c | 139.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed No | 75c | 138.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 63c | 138.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 61c | 133.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…2ee6backed Yes | 8c | 123.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 57c | 123.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 63c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 107.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 106.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…21b8backed Yes | 48c | 103.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed Yes | 48c | 103.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…eac8backed No | 75c | 102.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…5f32backed No | 79c | 101.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 92.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 88.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 44c | 85.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 36c | 85.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked No | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…c0d2backed Yes | 33c | 79.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 62c | 79.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…afa2backed No | 65c | 76.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 56c | 75.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 63c | 72.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 66c | 70.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked Yes | 57c | 70.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 69c | 65.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 44c | 64.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed No | 62c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed No | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…bc44backed No | 59c | 59.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked Yes | 37c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 57.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked Yes | 44c | 56.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 34c | 56.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…7573backed Yes | 25c | 55.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…c133backed Yes | 45c | 54.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…b127backed Yes | 24c | 54.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 63c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…a673backed Yes | 49c | 51.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 54c | 50.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 36c | 43.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 32c | 43.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 47c | 41.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…53d5backed Yes | 46c | 40.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed No | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 60c | 39.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…6f13backed Yes | 47c | 39.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bc…8c38backed No | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 39c | 38.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked No | 62c | 38.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322c…8fe9backed No | 62c | 38.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…efdfbacked No | 54c | 35.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…7e1ebacked Yes | 35c | 32.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 67c | 32.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 65c | 32.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.