CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SkinRave vs Phoenix (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b20cbb800ea7d2ad642f3996264de7a795dd96d1819dc6796bda4cf1aed6b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SkinRaveof SkinRave, Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Phoenix | 25c | 13,555$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.83 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SkinRave | 75c | 11,319$8,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.62 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed SkinRave | 76c | 4,747$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Phoenix | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Phoenix | 1c | 2,180$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Phoenix | 28c | 2,060$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.23 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked SkinRave | 76c | 1,850$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Phoenix | 18c | 1,633$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Phoenix | 26c | 1,516$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.66 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked SkinRave | 76c | 1,413$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.16 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Phoenix | 23c | 1,373$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.65 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…264abacked Phoenix | 5c | 1,291$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed SkinRave | 76c | 1,192$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.16 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2581…77d6backed Phoenix | 1c | 1,085$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Phoenix | 24c | 546.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed SkinRave | 69c | 530$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…304dbacked Phoenix | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Phoenix | 32c | 490$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…2b45backed SkinRave | 69c | 420$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed SkinRave | 67c | 395.73$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.24 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Phoenix | 17c | 390.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed SkinRave | 74c | 330.28$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed Phoenix | 32c | 317.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Phoenix | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Phoenix | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Phoenix | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Phoenix | 26c | 165.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed SkinRave | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…eac8backed SkinRave | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked SkinRave | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Phoenix | 24c | 131.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed SkinRave | 78c | 100.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…d60ebacked Phoenix | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed SkinRave | 52c | 96.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed SkinRave | 77c | 95.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked SkinRave | 80c | 82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed SkinRave | 67c | 75.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed SkinRave | 79c | 71.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed Phoenix | 35c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…fc2ebacked SkinRave | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed Phoenix | 25c | 63.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Phoenix | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7f8bbacked Phoenix | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed SkinRave | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed SkinRave | 75c | 50.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Phoenix | 25c | 48.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed SkinRave | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…3fe4backed SkinRave | 71c | 31.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed SkinRave | 70c | 30.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…43adbacked SkinRave | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked SkinRave | 71c | 26.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed SkinRave | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed SkinRave | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed SkinRave | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed SkinRave | 79c | 12.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed SkinRave | 79c | 12.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SkinRave vs Phoenix (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: SkinRave vs Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerSkinRave won
- Counter-Strike: SkinRave vs Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerPhoenix won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.