World Politics · resolved market
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa151948196cab14ceefae6bb6ed7ce3e8397fde99b66be7acfd1d1fe0078fb5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcee6…8233backed Yes | 38c | 3,188$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 25c | 2,982$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.28 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…e256backed No | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…665abacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…8f40backed Yes | 61c | 939.68$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 64c | 820.33$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.85 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…83d3backed Yes | 35c | 818.06$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…6f20backed Yes | 25c | 810.83$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…735ebacked Yes | 32c | 747.55$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…2190backed Yes | 48c | 681.37$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…4fa7backed No | 57c | 427.93$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 29c | 419.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.6 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 75c | 413.63$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.58 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…9c9cbacked Yes | 21c | 373.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 60c | 355$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…eac8backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…03d0backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 271$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.18 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 76c | 266.92$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.12 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…883abacked No | 20c | 263.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +392.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 62c | 261$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 240$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed No | 24c | 231.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 213.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…b081backed Yes | 47c | 202.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 38c | 190$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 24c | 185.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…87cbbacked Yes | 49c | 179.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 62c | 179$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…0439backed Yes | 31c | 171.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 55c | 168.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 49c | 156.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 75c | 155.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…e885backed No | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 44c | 145.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 47c | 138.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 70c | 130.88$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd245…2318backed No | 19c | 129.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…25d6backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 63c | 123$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 116.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…9dfebacked No | 28c | 112.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb89…a59dbacked No | 19c | 110$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +316.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…2f43backed Yes | 73c | 109.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…a005backed No | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed No | 22c | 106.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…6cb6backed Yes | 32c | 101.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 51c | 99.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 67c | 98.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed No | 64c | 98.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 44c | 96.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efd…75f5backed Yes | 47c | 95.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 91.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1b…ddbdbacked Yes | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…f38abacked Yes | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 50c | 87.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked No | 32c | 83.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +364.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…7e7cbacked No | 26c | 83.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2af1…6b27backed No | 51c | 83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed Yes | 72c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…1751backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…8c02backed No | 17c | 80$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…ee16backed No | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1627…0df2backed Yes | 29c | 76.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 62c | 76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…c310backed Yes | 40c | 74.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 37c | 68.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…9f38backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…3444backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…9236backed No | 57c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…0e5ebacked No | 54c | 59.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…5f55backed No | 54c | 56.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 67c | 56.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…1fa1backed Yes | 47c | 55.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 25c | 50.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a08…7328backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed No | 75c | 46.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…51ebbacked Yes | 34c | 43.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07f…52ecbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…63d9backed No | 32c | 40.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 31c | 40.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 63c | 40.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…e3adbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked No | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?this page
- Will Boaz Bismuth win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?No won
- Will Eli Cohen win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Yes won
- Will Israel Katz win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?No won
- Will Nir Barkat win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?No won
- Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?No won
- Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?No won
- Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.