NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c80f10bade9634eb9b59ac25f8acf5f0156dfcb8f93013044a041d002a5eb0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Devils, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $664,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Penguins | 52c | 220,283$114,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,067.94 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Devils | 50c | 126,817$63,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,230.77 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Devils | 50c | 48,430$24,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,119.23 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Devils | 48c | 44,271$21,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,250.01 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Devils | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…4e09backed Penguins | 51c | 39,988$20,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,421.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 50c | 21,605$10,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,802.72 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 51c | 15,185$7,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,387.05 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 48c | 15,031$7,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,214.95 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Devils | 48c | 10,404$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034.11 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Devils | 48c | 10,390$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.2 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Devils | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils | 47c | 7,043$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.21 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 52c | 7,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.92 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Devils | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Devils | 0c | 6,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Penguins | 51c | 6,078$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.43 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Devils | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.98 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Devils | 49c | 5,930$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.65 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Penguins | 50c | 5,555$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.5 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…c7f9backed Penguins | 50c | 5,504$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Devils | 49c | 5,383$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.46 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Devils | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Penguins | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Penguins | 52c | 4,799$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.48 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Devils | 49c | 4,597$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.54 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Penguins | 51c | 3,529$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.41 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Devils | 0c | 3,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Devils | 48c | 3,300$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.32 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 51c | 3,225$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.25 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Devils | 49c | 3,200$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.18 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Devils | 49c | 3,151$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.28 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Devils | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Penguins | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Devils | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 51c | 2,950$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.33 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…988ebacked Penguins | 51c | 2,922$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587f…dbf8backed Devils | 49c | 2,750$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Penguins | 52c | 2,435$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.97 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…d637backed Devils | 49c | 2,360$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Devils | 1c | 2,311$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Devils | 48c | 2,193$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.41 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Penguins | 52c | 2,063$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.25 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Penguins | 51c | 2,044$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.49 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.01 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Devils | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Penguins | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Devils | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Devils | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Devils | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Penguins | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Penguins | 50c | 1,900$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…5e6abacked Penguins | 52c | 1,884$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…a828backed Devils | 48c | 1,877$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Devils | 13c | 1,728$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Devils | 50c | 1,661$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Devils | 1c | 1,640$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Devils | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5a…6021backed Penguins | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…3e23backed Devils | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Devils | 49c | 1,428$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.72 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Devils | 50c | 1,393$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.54 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 51c | 1,383$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.48 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fa…98debacked Penguins | 52c | 1,366$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 51c | 1,336$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.62 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Devils | 40c | 1,321$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.19 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…0c3cbacked Penguins | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87db…32ebbacked Penguins | 52c | 1,295$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7913…350dbacked Devils | 8c | 1,200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Devils | 48c | 1,198$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.31 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Penguins | 51c | 1,184$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.31 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…0793backed Penguins | 52c | 1,149$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Devils | 5c | 1,130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Penguins | 50c | 1,101$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.29 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Penguins | 52c | 1,054$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.99 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Penguins | 51c | 1,040$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Penguins | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.95 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Penguins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Penguins | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Devils | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Devils | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Penguins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Devils | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Devils | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Devils | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…f83fbacked Penguins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Devils | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Penguins | 51c | 999.96$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Devils | 50c | 997$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Devils | 45c | 984.25$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.19 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Devils | 48c | 950$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…73e6backed Penguins | 52c | 942.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a5…84dbbacked Devils | 48c | 941.26$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb38…7393backed Devils | 48c | 918.43$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Devils | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…23f8backed Devils | 48c | 907.41$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Devils | 48c | 907.29$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.22 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…7eefbacked Penguins | 52c | 904.61$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…6180backed Penguins | 52c | 885.45$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Penguinsthis page
- Devils vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.