World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81aa06c8ada503938297b8eaeb2683bf1066189ee9fbf8bd85eb3457e24434dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 27c | 1,494$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.6 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 1,080$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.64 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Yes | 35c | 935.92$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.9 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…9365backed Yes | 13c | 599.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 76c | 571.13$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 77c | 501.63$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 6c | 396.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 74c | 378$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 10c | 377.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 310.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 77c | 310.49$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 26c | 290.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 72c | 274.76$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 13c | 261.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…d9b3backed Yes | 29c | 249.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 66c | 223.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 35c | 217$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 25c | 210.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6c…e8abbacked Yes | 11c | 193.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 66c | 185.68$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 8c | 181.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 38c | 156.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 30c | 151.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…eac8backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 16c | 132.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0594…90a5backed Yes | 8c | 129.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 30c | 126.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 116$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 59c | 111.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 109.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed Yes | 25c | 108.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 24c | 106$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 76c | 104.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 27c | 102.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 77c | 99.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…7e1ebacked Yes | 13c | 97.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…2963backed Yes | 17c | 91.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 24c | 86.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 79c | 81.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9157backed Yes | 26c | 78.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 31c | 78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 27c | 73.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c0…eb75backed Yes | 28c | 73.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 76c | 71.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9447…48d6backed Yes | 17c | 69.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 66c | 68.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 38c | 68.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 66c | 68.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Yes | 37c | 60.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5710…b854backed Yes | 40c | 58.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 58.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 56.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…5b62backed Yes | 24c | 53.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…c693backed Yes | 26c | 52.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 30c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…6ca8backed Yes | 24c | 51.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 70c | 50.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…40debacked No | 75c | 45.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 75c | 43.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8779…3eaabacked Yes | 37c | 43.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 79c | 43.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5749…73abbacked Yes | 25c | 43.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…fcbdbacked Yes | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 42.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…de48backed No | 71c | 42.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 76c | 42.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…5cecbacked Yes | 37c | 41.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 75c | 39.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes | 41c | 39.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 36.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…3082backed Yes | 30c | 33.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 63c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 64c | 30.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 73c | 26.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5686…690abacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd009…91afbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 73c | 21.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on July 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.