World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1efd02ca9844ebb0233e0cf11e7387ccebe8ecd3ccaa1b341fa84e6207ec5431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 19c | 1,509$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.26 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 79c | 1,061$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Yes | 26c | 890.77$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.07 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 8c | 571.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 7c | 550.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…fcbdbacked Yes | 4c | 542.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 7c | 531.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 11c | 516.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3848backed Yes | 10c | 389.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 14c | 349.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 21c | 348.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd999…64cfbacked Yes | 27c | 334.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 4c | 327.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 13c | 302.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 15c | 295.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 11c | 288.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…c84bbacked Yes | 39c | 276.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 31c | 274$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 19c | 252.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 252$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…0c2cbacked No | 77c | 248.69$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 23c | 239.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 21c | 238.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes | 30c | 201.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 21c | 200.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Yes | 18c | 200.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 71c | 195.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…d9b3backed Yes | 22c | 191.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…2131backed Yes | 17c | 181.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 175$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 10c | 174.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 11c | 161.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 15c | 150.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 72c | 147.03$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 16c | 137.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 32c | 127.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e3…3dfdbacked No | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Yes | 10c | 121.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Yes | 32c | 110.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 12c | 108.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…09b8backed Yes | 29c | 100.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 37c | 94.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 67c | 91.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 15c | 91.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 13c | 91.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Yes | 36c | 88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…17d3backed Yes | 27c | 82.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 32c | 81.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…f366backed Yes | 14c | 80.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 74.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 73c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8779…3eaabacked Yes | 25c | 64.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 75c | 64.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 21c | 63.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 28c | 53.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…9335backed Yes | 25c | 52.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 72c | 49.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…a422backed No | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 35c | 47.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 75c | 46.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 70c | 45.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 36.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…be1ebacked Yes | 34c | 35.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 52c | 33.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked No | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…5430backed No | 65c | 22.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 73c | 22.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 58 | 75.9%44 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 74c | 22.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 77c | 19.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 78c | 16.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked No | 75c | 16.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bc…7714backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on July 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.