Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3910cb53f972d00c049ad674c1b183b375bd56786eb4c085ea217f84defdd1ca

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $665,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $717,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,499 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 815 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe8c2…3048backed No	64c	40,207$25,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,672.86	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2dc…49f9backed Yes	63c	33,121$20,882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,239.48	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-82.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	34c	32,602$11,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,076.91	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	35c	31,418$10,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,960.85	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Yes	65c	30,512$19,831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,680.78	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	69cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes	32c	25,565$8,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,458.3	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	41c	20,812$8,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,518.44	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	34c	20,179$6,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,936.52	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	37c	17,433$6,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,509	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	59c	12,680$7,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,205.31	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	70c	11,688$8,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,527.58	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	67c	10,248$6,908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,340.43	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes	65c	10,000$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,500	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	34c	10,000$3,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,359.92	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe20…67debacked Yes	75c	9,983$7,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,460.8	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd2…1b21backed No	40c	9,568$3,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,806.98	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	35c	9,269$3,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,201.49	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	68c	8,675$5,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,782.4	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a55…1d25backed Yes	66c	8,671$5,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,977.25	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes	69c	7,669$5,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,365.41	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	32c	7,307$2,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,366.45	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	60c	7,297$4,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,944.89	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	25c	7,000$1,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,780	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes	32c	6,500$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,420	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	50c	6,473$3,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,223.9	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	52c	6,439$3,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,107.97	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked No	24c	6,310$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.5	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	43c	6,253$2,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,698.46	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes	67c	5,865$3,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,951	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed No	39c	5,501$2,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,139	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	42c	5,461$2,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,313.65	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	55c	5,052$2,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,253.08	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf70…5e92backed Yes	74c	5,000$3,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	24c	4,999$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.71	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Yes	64c	4,856$3,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,747.37	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	40c	4,850$1,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,923.25	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa1…7b6abacked No	37c	4,789$1,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,771.98	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a6…ca5fbacked No	38c	4,779$1,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,817.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc098…cd90backed Yes	63c	4,762$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,761.9	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadca…4013backed Yes	65c	4,585$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,584.55	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes	63c	4,321$2,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,597.99	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes	56c	4,248$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,847.85	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes	65c	4,180$2,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,444.73	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed No	36c	4,113$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472.53	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	59c	4,102$2,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,697.49	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed Yes	62c	4,000$2,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,540	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed No	51c	3,980$2,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,029.79	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Yes	76c	3,974$3,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$953.64	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	74c	3,840$2,834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,005.7	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf245…e750backed Yes	63c	3,525$2,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300.33	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+78.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	48c	3,465$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,647.71	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe94…8a3dbacked Yes	75c	3,376$2,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.04	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	29c	3,202$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.58	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3f…32a4backed No	48c	3,184$1,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.37	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	41c	3,176$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,876.05	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No	49c	3,110$1,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,517.37	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	35c	3,104$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070.88	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc438…3ae6backed Yes	66c	3,000$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	64c	3,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No	69c	3,000$2,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,070	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	57c	3,000$1,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,276.66	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x127e…3dd8backed Yes	63c	2,857$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.14	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	64cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed No	45c	2,854$1,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,285.54	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	33c	2,791$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.79	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	53c	2,774$1,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,307.51	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	38c	2,762$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.43	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	42c	2,726$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.03	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3ee3backed No	49c	2,707$1,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,319.42	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…049fbacked No	54c	2,565$1,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380.88	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No	42c	2,466$1,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045.43	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed No	54c	2,458$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.27	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd454…62dbbacked No	22c	2,429$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.7	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes	67c	2,377$1,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.83	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed No	53c	2,237$1,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,186.31	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf441…7574backed Yes	61c	2,200$1,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$862	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Yes	63c	2,121$1,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.77	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Yes	59c	2,100$1,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$852.86	193	32.6%63 W · 130 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Yes	53c	2,094$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$993.57	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed No	29c	2,075$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.13	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	54c	2,074$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.68	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb200…8163backed Yes	49c	2,060$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,059.96	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	20cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	61c	2,054$1,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.92	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.6wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	40c	2,010$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,209.56	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed Yes	64c	2,000$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$730	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-6.3wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes	71c	2,000$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes	63c	2,000$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740	125	56.8%71 W · 54 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3057…7a96backed No	49c	1,996$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.25	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb19c…2467backed Yes	75c	1,958$1,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.17	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	1c	1,890$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabe9…4424backed Yes	76c	1,779$1,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.91	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed Yes	57c	1,739$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.41	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5fd…3348backed Yes	59c	1,735$1,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.2	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+5.2wins	+0.19per pick	36cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes	61c	1,639$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.34	214	43%92 W · 122 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7363…89a7backed Yes	63c	1,638$1,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.24	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9874…2e27backed Yes	32c	1,611$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,088.75	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2937…ad07backed Yes	62c	1,603$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602.74	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	50c	1,599$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.99	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed No	51c	1,594$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.24	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	36c	1,594$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.32	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No	36c	1,564$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.03	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event