Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbef377f4578940004038597f75a8e75db8dd1acf789fa6e3eb492eced9c7048

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $225,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $212,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,194 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6cd8…d98dbacked No	74c	19,358$14,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,024.11	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	26c	16,427$4,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,276.68	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d79…1c29backed Yes	10c	11,234$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.95	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+6.4wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	10c	8,489$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.44	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked Yes	20c	6,932$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410.19	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	1c	5,583$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.83	54	1.9%1 W · 53 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-88%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes	16c	4,950$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.53	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	15c	4,425$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.86	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes	13c	3,524$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.43	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	26c	3,467$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.43	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	19c	3,357$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	17c	3,224$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.55	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	73c	2,984$2,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.52	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…ef0ebacked Yes	27c	2,899$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.46	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	74c	2,896$2,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.25	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes	26c	2,753$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.02	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	20c	2,508$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	18c	2,436$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.67	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	12c	2,414$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.17	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ef…26adbacked No	74c	2,373$1,762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.62	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	15c	2,348$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.14	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	5c	2,341$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.33	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes	28c	2,067$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.69	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes	22c	2,045$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.9	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46eb…ba8cbacked Yes	1c	2,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No	74c	1,897$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.01	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed Yes	10c	1,823$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.65	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	8c	1,635$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.64	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	26c	1,500$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.5	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes	11c	1,339$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x485f…7696backed Yes	26c	1,307$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.56	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	13c	1,271$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.73	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	1,263$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.01	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes	20c	1,258$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.6	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe97f…2390backed Yes	8c	1,181$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.22per pick	12cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes	14c	1,165$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.74	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	15c	1,156$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.79	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes	24c	1,141$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.79	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	13c	1,127$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.86	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb51…fe5abacked Yes	8c	1,088$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.37	74	28.4%21 W · 53 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04a5…28d6backed Yes	9c	1,070$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	16c	1,024$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.52	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x577b…ad6abacked Yes	10c	1,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.11	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes	26c	1,000$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes	15c	855$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.19	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked No	76c	827.82$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.76	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	8c	820.36$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.99	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x619d…ef71backed Yes	18c	817.42$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.5	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-60%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes	25c	800.45$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.12	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes	26c	800$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.2	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	27c	794.46$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.09	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	19c	755$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.73	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	25c	754.24$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.85	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	16c	735.17$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.24	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	11c	710.06$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.35	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes	10c	686.01$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.6	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	24c	659.52$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.36	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked No	80c	649.7$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.05	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-63%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	15c	598.99$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.4	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	9c	558$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.65	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f05…7e5dbacked No	73c	546.08$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.08	304	32.6%99 W · 205 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…0b7dbacked No	74c	537.82$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.82	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	-13.8wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-41%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes	20c	501$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes	26c	500$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.5	114	53.5%61 W · 53 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4759…f916backed No	76c	500$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-56%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	76c	485.95$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.06	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba76…e0d7backed Yes	30c	450$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	9c	448.88$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.77	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	74c	434.86$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.61	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x677d…4907backed Yes	24c	434.37$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.42	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed No	77c	415.54$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.55	175	68.6%120 W · 55 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	74cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	13c	408.64$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.61	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	7c	407.09$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.72	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	25c	398.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a8…8482backed Yes	10c	397.04$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.71	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	25cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d5…5753backed No	76c	391.41$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d5…7076backed Yes	7c	360$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-48%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	25c	357.54$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.81	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	15c	340.07$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.79	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Yes	18c	330$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.32	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	25c	313.13$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.22	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	11c	312.44$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.33	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	80c	301.72$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.28	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfad…956ebacked Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3cf…6fd8backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes	26c	284.5$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.76	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	10c	279$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.1	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked Yes	21c	270.26$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.4wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	8c	264.7$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.98	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes	22c	264.59$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	20c	263.06$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.85	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.01	72	58.3%42 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed Yes	21c	250$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.9	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…9613backed Yes	11c	244$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.57	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	27cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes	8c	229.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.58	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8861…ab58backed Yes	26c	226$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.08	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	59cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…d3fdbacked Yes	26c	222$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.28	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-6.6wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Yes	23c	219.98$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4669…54fbbacked Yes	24c	214.26$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event