Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ed00094d1318fc9942169d062c2460146fbe6398bc83dccce8507da3371f43d

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $101,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $94,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,221 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7f9e…3a0ebacked No	71c	12,911$9,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,750.71	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes	34c	9,358$3,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,226.57	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	69c	7,919$5,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,477.38	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	28c	6,376$1,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,797.41	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes	29c	3,448$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	25c	3,380$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2dc…49f9backed Yes	35c	3,030$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.42	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-82.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20c6…45aebacked Yes	36c	2,801$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	127	36.2%46 W · 81 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	70c	2,107$1,474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$633.2	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	22c	2,041$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.61	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed No	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	125	56.8%71 W · 54 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	33c	2,000$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.99	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	35c	1,999$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.63	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	68c	1,770$1,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.39	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes	36c	1,632$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	21c	1,617$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.86	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	30c	1,340$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.08	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	33c	1,334$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.98	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	64c	1,172$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.88	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	27c	1,160$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.88	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…362bbacked No	79c	1,159$916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.7	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	31c	1,008$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.58	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed No	64c	1,006$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	33c	1,005$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.9	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e48…95c7backed No	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	71cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed No	72c	986$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.69	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No	71c	982.1$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.31	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	67c	969$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.77	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	64c	968.5$621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.03	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	28c	928.99$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.91	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	72c	926.59$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.06	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	63c	894.31$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.9	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes	37c	850$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.5	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	63c	807.29$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.57	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	6c	800$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8b…ebe0backed Yes	26c	781.85$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	64c	781.25$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.25	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	31c	762.79$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.47	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	29c	738.4$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.65	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes	33c	700$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked No	63c	700$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Yes	28c	682.99$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.17	241	36.9%89 W · 152 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	23c	673.85$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.63	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	73c	654.3$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.67	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	66c	608.17$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.7	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No	67c	599.99$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	67c	599.98$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.99	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf6…50e2backed Yes	30c	599.98$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.99	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc37…fdf4backed No	72c	559.71$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.72	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	23c	537.99$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.57	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	23c	520$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.4	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab1…ca7abacked Yes	32c	500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	36c	499.99$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes	34c	499.99$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	64c	499.96$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.99	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No	70c	489.85$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.45	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed No	66c	449.98$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.49	128	46.9%60 W · 68 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b30…10d9backed Yes	30c	433.33$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc803…57b9backed Yes	37c	432.73$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	75c	416.72$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.85	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	77c	405.99$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.38	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed7b…dc73backed Yes	35c	400$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked No	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e59…ff78backed Yes	30c	400$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Yes	33c	389.77$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.74	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Yes	39c	374.69$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.16	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes	24c	353.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.96	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes	34c	349.99$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	110	38.2%42 W · 68 L	-11.1wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	29c	346.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.7	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes	19c	344.46$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.14	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	65c	344$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.22	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No	74c	343$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.84	109	66.1%72 W · 37 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	14c	342.83$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.55	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No	69c	327.03$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.38	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	69c	318$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.2	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	24c	306$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.31	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x975b…149bbacked No	65c	303.08$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.08	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	33c	300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b6…3158backed No	64c	300$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+8.0wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No	69c	300$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf53e…2728backed No	65c	300$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Yes	35c	299.99$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed No	69c	299.97$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.99	48	62.5%30 W · 18 L	+4.7wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes	34c	294$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.38	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf47c…61f3backed Yes	38c	291$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.49	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d7…deb5backed Yes	28c	287.59$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.66	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-4.2wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	36c	280.94$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.14	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2e…ad55backed Yes	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	73.5%25 W · 9 L	+7.4wins	+0.22per pick	52cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbace…3429backed No	76c	272.64$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.11	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes	37c	271.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.6	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0615…836fbacked Yes	30c	266.16$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	68c	264.35$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.37	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a6…ee3bbacked Yes	29c	258.32$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.93	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	68c	251.97$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.33	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	68c	250$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Yes	33c	250$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No	74c	250$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	27c	240.42$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.19	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No	64c	234.38$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.38	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	23c	225$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.25	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event