Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4d36164bee21a407f0a2151b96502f9220d175b7ab486122c4ae476c0e0fc41

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,892 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x308f…35cabacked Yes	20c	5,038$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.12	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c5…564fbacked Yes	21c	2,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	16c	1,936$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.1	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	79c	1,806$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.88	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	77c	1,709$1,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.98	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2718…780bbacked Yes	23c	1,659$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.5	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	77c	1,499$1,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.33	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No	80c	1,307$1,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.44	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	77c	915.43$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.65	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a1…b214backed Yes	26c	738.27$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.65	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	76c	700$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	25c	631.02$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.33	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	24c	604.79$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.65	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d8…9574backed Yes	20c	598.5$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.7	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	76c	571.63$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.05	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	76c	558.94$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.15	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923a…e723backed Yes	24c	551.1$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…f874backed Yes	21c	528.09$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.9	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	80c	528.03$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.61	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	78c	519.26$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.01	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…a754backed Yes	20c	516.91$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.36	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	21cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed Yes	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	78c	480.36$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.68	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cad…5dd0backed Yes	22c	440$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.9	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86d8…e520backed Yes	23c	433.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	76	22.4%17 W · 59 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x828f…fa80backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	27%24 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	22c	410.89$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.45	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5df…8f9bbacked Yes	25c	407.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	76c	405.39$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.44	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	78c	403.81$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.84	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	77c	399.08$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.81	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked No	79c	377.59$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.59	103	54.4%56 W · 47 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	77c	372.5$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.36	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	79c	371.68$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.58	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4043…2bc7backed Yes	23c	362.5$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb2d…c1e2backed Yes	18c	350$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f00…7addbacked Yes	22c	350$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…e4a0backed No	79c	349.23$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.34	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+2.9wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	21c	332.62$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.41	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x018a…3b37backed Yes	25c	323.26$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…009dbacked No	75c	300$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	79c	288.8$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.13	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa243…7656backed Yes	24c	280$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.4	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	76c	279.17$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.79	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No	78c	274$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.41	109	66.1%72 W · 37 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes	21c	271.91$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.1	169	46.2%78 W · 91 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	75c	265.66$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.41	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c16…5c93backed Yes	25c	262.4$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a0…b306backed Yes	25c	259.75$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	60	35%21 W · 39 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	71c	252.78$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.75	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab1…ca7abacked Yes	24c	250$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked No	76c	250$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf328…a5ccbacked Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.17per pick	38cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	23c	249.99$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.65	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x010d…029ebacked Yes	22c	222.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Yes	21c	220$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.7	241	36.9%89 W · 152 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Yes	23c	219.48$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	279	40.5%113 W · 166 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a5…3a4cbacked Yes	27c	218.52$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No	76c	214.01$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.36	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	76c	213.8$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.61	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28b8…a16abacked Yes	24c	204.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	19c	200.67$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.64	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x263f…a477backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4615…5ccbbacked No	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	51	72.5%37 W · 14 L	+7.6wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8a39…14c8backed No	77c	193$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.39	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Yes	26c	190.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No	76c	188.7$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.71	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x524f…319bbacked Yes	22c	185$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.7	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed No	78c	184.09$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.09	112	39.3%44 W · 68 L	-10.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98bd…781ebacked No	80c	178.47$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.52	99	55.6%55 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94f8…cb13backed Yes	22c	177.64$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.08	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No	78c	177.61$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.07	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No	78c	174.75$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.44	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-7.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb7dd…e5e4backed Yes	27c	170$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.22	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked No	76c	169.8$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.39	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	24c	166.48$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.4	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes	20c	165.59$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.12	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked No	78c	163$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.86	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x885d…28f2backed Yes	20c	161.06$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes	25c	160$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fbb…acb2backed Yes	25c	149.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed No	78c	143$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.46	156	55.8%87 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No	75c	130.6$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.6	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed No	77c	130$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.9	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e6…7d82backed No	78c	130$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.6	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed No	77c	129$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.67	236	40.3%95 W · 141 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaef0…491cbacked No	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	78c	119$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.98	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e29…b3e1backed No	79c	119$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.99	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	19c	117.17$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb65…9d8cbacked Yes	25c	114.77$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.22	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No	75c	113.09$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.51	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	11c	112.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	79c	110.44$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.19	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…49d7backed Yes	23c	108.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	21c	108.22$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.17	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	76c	105.76$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.33	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4b…83e2backed Yes	22c	104.17$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.92	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecde…6d0dbacked Yes	24c	103.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed No	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event