Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a1cc6bb4a77c72eee9bc161a065b481eb0ad467c82516bd05c2436de90a65ba

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $139,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $137,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,083 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	77c	14,016$10,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,238.96	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	23c	5,534$1,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272.73	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes	16c	5,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a61…2727backed No	68c	3,988$2,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,272.85	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…422abacked Yes	22c	3,800$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc536…f086backed No	76c	3,510$2,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$849.09	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-55%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No	78c	3,000$2,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-45%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a63…5dcebacked Yes	22c	2,998$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.27	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	18c	2,937$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.78	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	13c	2,877$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.82	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes	22c	2,787$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	38c	2,512$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes	22c	2,248$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.48	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed No	76c	2,200$1,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517	103	26.2%27 W · 76 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Yes	19c	1,921$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	17c	1,547$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.12	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	19c	1,501$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.28	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	21c	1,501$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.43	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No	78c	1,500$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked No	73c	1,369$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.55	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	79c	1,250$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.5	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5441…b7d8backed Yes	16c	1,221$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf68…20d8backed Yes	21c	1,200$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	76c	1,200$911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.5	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd097…93d0backed Yes	1c	1,176$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.19	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+10.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	79c	1,119$883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.95	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	14c	1,105$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.88	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e48…95c7backed No	80c	1,104$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.58	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	71cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x281f…3e7ebacked Yes	21c	1,048$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	22c	1,028$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.65	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x577b…ad6abacked Yes	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked No	77c	1,000$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e96…0317backed Yes	21c	955.21$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.9	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	20c	953.5$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.73	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c09…5448backed Yes	24c	917.93$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.62	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d1…3242backed Yes	25c	904$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	78c	875.52$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.62	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f21…ff5dbacked Yes	10c	784.9$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.49	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	15c	674.97$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.69	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	15c	661.66$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.25	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf869…52a7backed Yes	24c	650$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x578a…c93ebacked No	77c	648.78$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.78	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes	13c	562$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.29	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb2…a187backed Yes	10c	536.67$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.67	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…26b6backed No	76c	482.92$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.9	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	295	29.8%88 W · 207 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Yes	24c	410.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.17	72	26.4%19 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5219…9781backed Yes	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No	76c	399.97$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.99	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed No	75c	399.3$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.89	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f5…d5eebacked Yes	27c	390.66$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.97	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4e…8e54backed No	79c	379.75$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.75	104	61.5%64 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6593…445ebacked Yes	11c	377.27$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	14c	359.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes	15c	350$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	118	28.8%34 W · 84 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x500e…c4cebacked Yes	17c	350$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes	14c	344.56$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.24	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked No	78c	319.41$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.41	200	25.5%51 W · 149 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	41c	315$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.15	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.6wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	20c	310.14$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.41	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes	13c	310$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	82	18.3%15 W · 67 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e65…808fbacked Yes	23c	300$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd95…cb21backed Yes	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	23c	295.1$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.19	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb666…33a6backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-37%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes	22c	270$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e3…ac82backed No	77c	251.33$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.83	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	70c	248.28$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.07	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	20c	237$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.39	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	25c	235.41$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.44	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	21c	226$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.46	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	25c	212.42$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.09	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No	77c	206.84$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.57	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	16c	202.4$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.77	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No	75c	200$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	93	51.6%48 W · 45 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked No	73c	194$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.99	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d5…7076backed Yes	21c	192.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-48%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	9c	186$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.74	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda91…8a56backed Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+5.2wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+31%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5afc…2995backed Yes	25c	182.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.06	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes	16c	180$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No	77c	172.06$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.28	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9182…3368backed Yes	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5b…d055backed Yes	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x503e…999cbacked Yes	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	26c	166.21$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.96	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes	18c	164.3$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.47	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	19c	163.71$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.61	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed No	77c	155$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.65	313	58.1%182 W · 131 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed No	74c	154$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.37	191	25.1%48 W · 143 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+79.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6724…84efbacked Yes	10c	150.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes	10c	149$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.9	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	16c	139.29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.29	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	67c	133.82$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.64	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	25c	127.55$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.89	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Yes	23c	120$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event