Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20d5d064a9efbf09afda77290fca0811be699cc13c4465db6319f749d10d9d71

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $125,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $136,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,783 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	77c	6,961$5,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,601.28	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	75c	6,308$4,734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,573.69	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…d383backed Yes	25c	5,060$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	75c	4,788$3,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,197.07	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes	23c	4,290$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	20c	4,074$807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.08	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4176…7d36backed Yes	34c	3,436$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,177.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes	23c	3,047$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…30abbacked No	79c	2,950$2,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.51	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf488…0c6dbacked Yes	23c	2,588$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	75c	1,885$1,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.99	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	17c	1,763$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.43	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	1c	1,666$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.21	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	76c	1,648$1,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.99	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	67c	1,582$1,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.92	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7828…e558backed No	78c	1,574$1,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.28	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	75c	1,500$1,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.46	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fb6…f63dbacked Yes	23c	1,435$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+149.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	23c	1,329$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.89	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…0df2backed No	80c	1,310$1,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	79c	1,300$1,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.4	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f6…f335backed Yes	25c	1,205$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.98	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed No	79c	1,192$944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.69	191	25.1%48 W · 143 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+79.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacad…bceabacked Yes	38c	1,174$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.97	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.22per pick	42cpaid	+91.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	73c	1,169$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.16	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed No	79c	1,145$907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.04	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90c6…4fdebacked No	77c	1,123$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.46	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf22b…7eabbacked No	79c	1,112$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.44	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	79c	1,082$855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.25	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	77c	1,038$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.91	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x158c…9164backed No	66c	1,015$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x524f…319bbacked Yes	32c	930$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.65	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff20…7bcabacked Yes	34c	911.82$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.08	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	66c	898.34$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.41	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Yes	27c	869.12$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.57	350	41.1%144 W · 206 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	56c	868.4$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.73	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	13c	845.99$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.23	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a1…b214backed Yes	30c	821.58$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed No	65c	816.71$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.71	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	2c	800$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	68c	794.83$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.35	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	67c	736.03$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.53	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	13c	726.73$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.37	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	12c	667.02$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.61	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No	75c	647.85$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.5	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0b…3282backed Yes	34c	645.8$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No	79c	637$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.16	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	31c	635.38$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.82	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No	70c	635.37$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.61	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec74…33a1backed Yes	40c	632.19$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd272…0626backed Yes	24c	616.82$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	26c	605.57$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	67c	598.98$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.66	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	22c	563.86$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.78	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd33c…a724backed No	70c	557$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.77	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No	69c	544.93$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.93	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db2…19a9backed Yes	24c	534.72$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8503…abddbacked Yes	29c	500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	69c	500$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed No	77c	499.99$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-6.3wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	68c	470.42$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.38	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	78c	468.86$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.48	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9568…f986backed Yes	23c	436.26$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1b…ad63backed Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed No	71c	421.67$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.29	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8027…4fe3backed Yes	37c	419.05$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes	24c	414.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92aa…8dc4backed Yes	24c	413.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9bf6…50e2backed Yes	29c	400$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e59…ff78backed Yes	23c	400$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f82…efe0backed Yes	31c	399.99$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x923a…e723backed Yes	33c	394.07$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	67c	377.63$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	22c	373.51$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.24	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes	32c	362.5$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	100	38%38 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	72c	352.92$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.12	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee65…802dbacked Yes	33c	350.97$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.82	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd03e…abe5backed Yes	29c	343$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7518…a533backed Yes	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	66c	325.99$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.53	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	74c	325.97$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.33	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f93…d848backed No	79c	323.44$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.17	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4af5…0530backed Yes	31c	319.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	67c	318.56$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.07	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828f…fa80backed Yes	32c	311.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	27%24 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Yes	32c	310$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.2	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No	76c	300$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	19c	300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf53e…2728backed No	78c	300$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.79	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked No	77c	272.52$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.64	152	40.8%62 W · 90 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	72c	257.09$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.18	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes	26c	255.98$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.78	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d7…deb5backed Yes	16c	253.13$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.26	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-4.2wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	32c	252.79$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.11	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	74c	251$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.26	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71ac…bbf9backed Yes	32c	250.31$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x226a…c7debacked No	77c	249.27$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.33	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No	70c	243$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.9	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb666…33a6backed Yes	23c	239.13$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-37%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event