TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90c6…4fde

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Music at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$178
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+50%+$200
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$86.08
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$154
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$251.67
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$192.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$281
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.01
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HAVU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+772.4%+$1,162.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$202.5
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$265.12
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$255.46
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$206.06
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$160
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.75
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$62.3
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$797.52
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$114.49
France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$168.75
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$583
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$131.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.