TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,717,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,946,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,717,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,976 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over52c1,931,585$1,000,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930,645.8917034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under49c1,350,000$655,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654,999.9333538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under48c663,297$318,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318,840.6174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987b…df43backed Under50c405,561$202,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,780.422360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over51c372,340$189,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182,446.7151032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Under49c355,519$174,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174,204.245959.3%35 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over50c300,000$150,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150,00015552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over50c280,000$140,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140,0004456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under49c272,897$133,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133,719.4332031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c218,662$110,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,774.14,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over51c210,627$106,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,044.4470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Over51c200,000$102,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,0008246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x476e…396dbacked Under50c199,999$99,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,499.731266.7%8 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+99.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c182,403$90,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,125.672,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5d…e218backed Under49c141,456$69,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,313.371241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Under49c136,671$66,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,968.828063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over51c122,222$62,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,888.7842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over50c100,378$49,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,688.799747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c99,483$49,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,294.1277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed Over51c85,000$43,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,649.993458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under50c83,389$42,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,037.0244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c79,822$40,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,305.642,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over51c77,777$39,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,110.7317840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under48c67,317$32,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,567.396758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa948…f202backed Under49c59,405$29,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,368.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under49c58,435$28,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,633.1417852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c53,924$26,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,480.888,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over52c50,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,00014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c44,584$22,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,415.631,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Under49c43,805$21,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,452.115745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…9b1ebacked Under50c42,490$21,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,244.931533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over49c40,004$19,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,412.9238734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9301…3b67backed Under49c40,000$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,499.992236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under49c39,999$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,599.6527039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c37,500$18,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,149.9774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under50c35,889$17,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,846.4128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over50c34,643$17,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,252.732,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Under49c32,696$16,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,102.5822846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c30,891$13,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,240.833,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Over51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,70013959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under49c30,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,799.9810146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Under49c30,000$14,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,759.929131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Over51c29,412$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,411.7610457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Under49c28,500$13,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,9652458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under53c27,100$14,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,430.1225038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over41c26,145$10,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,529.821,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under55c24,969$13,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,648.182,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Over51c23,529$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,529.417035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c1…d177backed Over51c20,754$10,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,169.523145.2%14 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under49c20,612$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,099.8310744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Over43c20,117$8,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,376.9426447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over51c20,000$10,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,88033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under50c20,000$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,099.9713742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…04a9backed Over52c19,231$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,230.772050%10 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over52c19,231$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,230.7714248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over51c18,787$9,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,205.6817447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Under49c18,567$9,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1007545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked Under49c16,921$8,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,291.37451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over49c16,059$7,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,131.698648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x471d…2fa7backed Over51c16,025$8,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,852.333154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under50c16,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0009948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over51c15,592$7,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,628.4627345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under49c15,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,349.984055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Under48c14,240$6,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,835.64348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over39c13,972$5,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,541.6625339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Over51c13,725$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,725.4926320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x171b…5179backed Over52c13,453$6,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,457.336238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over51c12,670$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,169.6825336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under48c12,664$6,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,083.5242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under57c12,281$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0007163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over51c12,019$6,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,889.1310927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,76029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,759.9423949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,759.824452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over49c11,766$5,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,964.3916947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over57c11,523$6,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,954.6524533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under53c11,333$6,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,053.9736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over51c11,111$5,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,444.3914045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under50c10,724$5,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,394.9744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under49c10,333$5,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,026.4431851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over51c10,294$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,044.061,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under49c10,066$4,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,932.345554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Over50c10,000$5,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,984.597259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Over45c10,000$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4804531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over50c9,961$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,960.788639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0584…de3ebacked Over51c9,895$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,894.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7799…ebd7backed Over51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.921625%4 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c9,443$4,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,732.781,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under48c9,421$4,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,521.9122752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Over51c9,349$4,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,581.175328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under50c8,975$4,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,515.5866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51f3…2e03backed Over50c8,938$4,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,468.87711.7%9 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c8,779$4,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,284.181,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under53c8,512$4,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,480.763,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over51c8,400$4,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,11636247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d5…157dbacked Under49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over45c8,102$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,440.739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under48c8,001$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,840.4821849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.