Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c3a3c3ffc84df1fe8f29b43f1760e1accc43f2bdcf6dd49ff6d2d36132cacac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 20c | 16,409$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.79 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 11,761$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.8 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 80c | 10,659$8,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.51 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 19c | 8,763$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.66 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 22c | 5,641$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 1c | 4,716$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 19c | 3,638$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.64 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 3,139$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.35 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 80c | 2,250$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.05 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Under | 20c | 1,799$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.62 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…50cbbacked Over | 80c | 1,760$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 19c | 1,250$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.84 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 19c | 1,250$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.07 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Under | 20c | 1,185$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 79c | 1,139$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.24 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 19c | 1,067$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf2…326abacked Over | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 18c | 999.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966b…2d95backed Over | 80c | 687.08$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…86b1backed Over | 76c | 650$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 74c | 510.98$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…785fbacked Over | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 19c | 384.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Under | 20c | 360.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 25c | 352.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 74c | 249.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Under | 24c | 225.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 6c | 198$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 19c | 155.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Under | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 20c | 146.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 19c | 126.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 19c | 126.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe250…ea7abacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…3b10backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3300…ead7backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 17c | 80.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 18c | 70.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 328 | 37.2%122 W · 206 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 72c | 70.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 19c | 64.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…61e8backed Under | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 18c | 58.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c6dabacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 74c | 25.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…7a7cbacked Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fb…f5d4backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5this page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.