TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf4e1…34a5backed Over23c11,434$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6006633.3%22 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over21c4,742$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.12,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under80c3,879$3,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.972,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over21c3,146$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.6670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over15c2,944$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.884,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over19c2,618$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.451,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Over21c2,593$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.467521.3%16 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over21c2,395$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over21c2,374$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d7…360dbacked Over20c1,695$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.916923.2%16 W · 53 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick11cpaid+79.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31518929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over21c1,445$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbc…65a2backed Over21c1,402$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-69.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over18c1,354$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.341,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under78c1,222$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.043,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over21c1,201$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.142,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over20c1,190$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2387639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fc…6c92backed Over22c1,182$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.023414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over20c1,025$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20516136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under79c954.21$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.931,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f43…e4aebacked Over22c904.5$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.998118.5%15 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over9c870.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.132,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over21c775.66$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over17c706.24$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.622,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb091…a1eebacked Over10c701.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over21c522$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.622,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ed…3363backed Over21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7d…058fbacked Under78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under79c499.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1df…8a9cbacked Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005223.1%12 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over19c476.19$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ddc…1480backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010733.6%36 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over16c475$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7616725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187c…8708backed Over24c453.19$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.373729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over16c447.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcddb…5ea3backed Over22c440.23$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.851421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over20c422.42$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under76c413.55$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2559752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over18c400.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9835034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe547…0443backed Over21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847111.3%8 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Over21c380$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.87132.4%23 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b99…d506backed Over24c375$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9402…21febacked Over21c335.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.54320.9%9 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over23c330$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.31,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under76c328$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.722,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under76c328$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.722,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Over20c307.37$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4712740.9%52 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.82,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under80c291.29$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.631,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under79c280$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.353,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Over19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over9c250.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.251,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under80c250.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.571,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over15c249.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.519823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4681…dbecbacked Over21c248.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.213112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under78c242.58$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.221,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under80c218.36$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6742853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over5c211.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.514,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4031156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over14c196$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.361,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over22c159.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.029635.4%34 W · 62 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under80c120.5$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.124843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over14c109.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.522,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Under39c107.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.873935.9%14 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+97.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe3eb…d78bbacked Over24c106.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.43647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over21c91.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.281,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under76c86.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.753,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over17c76.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.231,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over21c75.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8673234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over21c75.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7858642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0938…a9a8backed Under76c75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aca…ebaabacked Over21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under79c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea77…82eebacked Over22c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.45641.1%23 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd787…3d15backed Over22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Over21c66.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7610840.7%44 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Over18c59.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8917432.8%57 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over22c55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0165036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x598e…755dbacked Over24c54.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1416746.7%78 W · 89 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over20c53.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5384751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under78c52.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3832837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under77c51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.941,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under79c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.751,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under79c49.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.631,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under79c49.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.512,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under77c39.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.122,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under79c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6578559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under79c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3523761.2%145 W · 92 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under78c32.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.363,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Under80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.