TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,456 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under2c1,016$20 inLost-$19.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under31c514.45$162 inLost-$161.6234533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over78c503.43$393 inWon+$110.752,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8a…e0f7backed Under22c494.25$108 inLost-$107.734957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under22c401.62$88 inLost-$88.363,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Over70c303$212 inWon+$90.8411445.6%52 W · 62 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under29c255.18$75 inLost-$74.824,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over80c247.28$198 inWon+$49.4634249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x382e…4f6bbacked Under21c238.57$50 inLost-$509437.2%35 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Over68c150$102 inWon+$4815745.9%72 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over77c138.24$106 inWon+$31.83,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a1c…eb60backed Over69c100$69 inWon+$315257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under27c53.09$14 inLost-$14.382,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over79c51.57$41 inWon+$10.832,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under37c49$18 inLost-$17.91,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59af…8721backed Over77c38.84$30 inWon+$8.841747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…a3b8backed Over78c35.14$27 inWon+$7.735076%38 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x525a…1e31backed Over78c28.15$22 inWon+$6.195345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over77c15.01$12 inWon+$3.451,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.