Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad454788da455474d9e28c8ef2bf9bc1a01707b0bf445a9e4aa3c8b6ab44b30f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 4c | 187,606$7,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,494.95 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Over | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 5c | 7,811$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 5c | 7,360$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.69 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 5c | 5,674$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.69 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Over | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 6c | 4,309$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.53 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 2c | 4,171$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Over | 7c | 3,180$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.32 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 2c | 2,979$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 6c | 2,194$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 6c | 2,057$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked Over | 6c | 2,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 4c | 1,841$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Over | 1c | 1,538$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 6c | 1,421$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…dadabacked Over | 5c | 1,252$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 3c | 900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 841$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…2218backed Over | 3c | 751.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 2c | 697.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 8c | 637.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 3c | 612.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 5c | 568.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 6c | 433.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1df…8a9cbacked Over | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 5c | 399$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Over | 6c | 299.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 7c | 276.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 4c | 260.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 6c | 232.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Over | 6c | 208$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Over | 7c | 180$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 5.5this page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.