TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$301,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,242 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d06…f79dbacked Over15c20,089$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.3512536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over14c15,104$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.578317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aaf…b21abacked Over14c10,960$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.683426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Over15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xabea…72aebacked Over15c8,472$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.735740.4%23 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over6c7,323$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over6c6,472$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.621,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed Over8c4,271$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.0316033.1%53 W · 107 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over13c3,766$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.2743826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over7c3,053$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.483,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9922342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over7c2,637$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.51,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over7c2,486$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.824,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over15c2,400$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.995330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over7c2,193$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.432,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over14c2,150$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30160511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28017636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over13c2,000$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.965911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over15c1,800$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over15c1,357$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.569324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over14c1,344$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over15c1,263$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.111,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over11c1,245$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.742,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over14c1,052$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2827227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over4c1,042$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.67626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over11c1,015$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6422135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over15c958.07$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7113736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over2c863.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over2c841.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.232,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc1…0c67backed Over14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004311.6%5 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over5c603.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over13c599.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7847127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over14c540$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.211,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7536631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Over15c429.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3124843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e0c…4eb3backed Over15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017930.7%55 W · 124 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over14c392.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5531435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa57e…5e2abacked Over15c340$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Over13c337.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9430345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1df…8a9cbacked Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505223.1%12 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x662d…d041backed Over15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Over14c299.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427521.3%16 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ecc…3ed9backed Over15c297.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.592540%10 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over8c241.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3371939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over15c235.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2924840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Over6c213$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0117432.8%57 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over14c201.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309919.2%19 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.281,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc9…47f2backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024226.4%64 W · 178 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea7…ef55backed Over14c199.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287832.1%25 W · 53 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Over11c184.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024132.8%79 W · 162 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Over15c173$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9530344.2%134 W · 169 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over15c168.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a8…e9d9backed Over15c165$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7514533.1%48 W · 97 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1859…a421backed Over13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f1…ae1abacked Over14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115939%62 W · 97 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1287237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db6…3c9ebacked Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…834ebacked Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204438.6%17 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+79.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Over14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.833729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa477…2783backed Over15c117$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over14c110$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.446743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd514…367cbacked Over14c110$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.47745.5%35 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e42…87d9backed Over10c107.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.762128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb77…9b07backed Over14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154332.6%14 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaffc…cddcbacked Over15c103$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.456937.7%26 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410141.6%42 W · 59 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1037237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a5…138bbacked Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over14c97.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5887938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over14c74.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4173234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eae…5238backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.