Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbb703b022fa8d092d9e3c888623d03a2b32bdd9b69235f8f7fd8a44387274f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 26c | 3,891$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.96 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 24c | 1,521$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.86 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 78c | 1,449$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.78 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 73c | 1,321$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.53 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 23c | 1,070$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over | 15c | 999.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 22c | 889$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.58 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 9c | 470.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 71c | 442.72$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 77c | 361.69$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 79c | 312.05$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 77c | 293.32$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 188.43$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 39c | 170.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 7c | 164$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 74c | 155$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 20c | 146.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 62c | 116.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 21c | 85.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 51c | 76.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 62c | 73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed Under | 80c | 62.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 21c | 61.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 77c | 58.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 74c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Over | 21c | 52.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 77c | 46.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 77c | 45.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 40.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…8274backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 76c | 29.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 77c | 26.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…88d2backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 73c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Under | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3305…8210backed Under | 80c | 12.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.57 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5this page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.