TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,870 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d60…453dbacked Over75c400.93$300 inWon+$100.9365948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Under25c330.93$83 inLost-$82.7312145.5%55 W · 66 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c247.76$97 inLost-$96.633,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x744c…7e61backed Over61c82.31$50 inWon+$32.17050%35 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under26c70$18 inLost-$18.22,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…4c05backed Over61c50$31 inWon+$19.58845.5%40 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dca…e1d9backed Over58c40$23 inWon+$16.923151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14af…02f2backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon+$12.796031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbab9…e027backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon+$12.795855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c31.82$19 inWon+$12.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c87…9141backed Over61c24.59$15 inWon+$9.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.