TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,103
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,103 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over11c4,371$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over12c3,371$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.332,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over12c1,706$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7227227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over3c1,358$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.962,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over2c1,289$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x126f…a49dbacked Over11c1,198$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.548248.8%40 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Over11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011531.3%36 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Over11c970.31$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.733537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over2c920.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over5c805$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2515034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Over11c444.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.921421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over12c434$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2635244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over12c425.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over11c420.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2922135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over12c418.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Over4c349.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4918118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over11c336.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3727742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa216…b201backed Over11c307.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.871258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over11c245.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over10c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over10c136$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.262,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over11c94.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.431,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.