Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4423e0f0815644a2464ef34aa2b0757cb654428103678d43c4e76c22512520e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 9c | 28,756$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.32 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 8c | 22,307$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.63 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Under | 7c | 20,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 7c | 17,070$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.89 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 12c | 13,069$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.22 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Under | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 8c | 10,347$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.75 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebd…ba30backed Under | 13c | 9,778$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.11 | 160 | 33.1%53 W · 107 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…eeecbacked Under | 12c | 8,119$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Under | 14c | 6,660$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 14c | 5,633$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.45 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 9c | 5,606$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 7c | 5,555$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.85 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 10c | 5,403$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.25 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked Under | 14c | 4,375$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.48 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 13c | 3,728$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.27 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under | 8c | 2,528$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Under | 8c | 1,950$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…c84dbacked Under | 8c | 1,800$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 14c | 1,440$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…c28bbacked Under | 7c | 1,339$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 24.6%30 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…1eedbacked Under | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…3363backed Under | 8c | 1,135$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 1c | 1,089$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…d0ecbacked Under | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 899.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Under | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…15dabacked Under | 8c | 587.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 11c | 437.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 7c | 391.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 11c | 370.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Under | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 22.1%48 W · 169 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655a…8fadbacked Under | 8c | 202.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 107 | 15%16 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…1987backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Under | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c4…1378backed Under | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Under | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53d…bd38backed Under | 8c | 134.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Under | 13c | 132.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…5674backed Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…0fcbbacked Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 267 | 20.6%55 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…967fbacked Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed Under | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…5c5ebacked Under | 12c | 112.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked Under | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 12c | 104.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 10c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 589 | 42.6%251 W · 338 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 0.5this page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.