Spread: Norway (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59a242b9d0bfe73c0ca17f5035e3765efd24871f80349ff048c89b3ecb399047

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Côte d'Ivoireof Norway, Côte d'Ivoire
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $203,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $206,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,761 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Norway	7c	23,864$1,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,705.01	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Norway	10c	10,081$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008.07	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+13.4wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Norway	10c	8,712$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.7	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Norway	12c	6,666$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.91	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Norway	9c	6,509$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.47	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Norway	9c	4,444$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Norway	10c	4,383$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.57	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9326…d416backed Norway	9c	4,054$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.82	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Norway	4c	3,865$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.95	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Norway	9c	2,999$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.91	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Norway	7c	2,982$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.58	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Norway	9c	2,778$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca9…0c3fbacked Norway	8c	2,518$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Norway	9c	2,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca2…44fcbacked Norway	9c	2,222$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-38%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Norway	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	115	31.3%36 W · 79 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Norway	5c	1,313$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.6	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Norway	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Norway	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Norway	10c	1,014$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Norway	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	148	56.1%83 W · 65 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Norway	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	100	26%26 W · 74 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17bf…6731backed Norway	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Norway	4c	957.42$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.09	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e6…9e72backed Norway	9c	777.78$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Norway	6c	763.82$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.31	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Norway	10c	739.23$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.54	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Côte d'Ivoire	75c	690.07$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.14	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+31.0wins	+0.24per pick	35cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Norway	3c	654.87$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.13	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa711…738ebacked Norway	8c	649.4$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.83	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	23cpaid	-88.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1df…8a9cbacked Norway	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c0…f73abacked Norway	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Norway	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ec…a234backed Norway	11c	458.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Norway	9c	444.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Norway	11c	390$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.39	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Norway	21c	341$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.51	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Norway	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Norway	8c	302.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.24	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Norway	5c	298.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.17	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Norway	25c	292$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.19	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf221…8b16backed Norway	9c	277.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Norway	17c	271$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.72	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Norway	9c	268$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.77	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Norway	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Norway	9c	247$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.23	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…fbb9backed Norway	9c	242.22$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ee…e69cbacked Norway	13c	231.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Norway	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae13…2125backed Norway	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd94a…ea96backed Norway	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	104	29.8%31 W · 73 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x530e…ad89backed Norway	10c	202.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Norway	8c	200.7$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.06	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…7d3dbacked Norway	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa0a2…0489backed Norway	11c	183.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+5.8wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+170.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe07a…40c9backed Norway	9c	155.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe82b…2c44backed Norway	10c	155$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Norway	16c	144.49$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.12	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2704…49b2backed Norway	9c	144.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Norway	24c	142$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.08	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Norway	8c	137.04$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Norway	24c	127$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.48	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Norway	9c	122.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	274	45.3%124 W · 150 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26bc…70a3backed Norway	9c	120.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Norway	10c	114.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.08	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f79…6be9backed Norway	10c	106.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Norway	10c	100.36$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	172	27.3%47 W · 125 L	-9.1wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46b0…48dabacked Norway	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-27%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Norway (-2.5)this page
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Norway won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Norway won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-3.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Norway (-4.5)Côte d'Ivoire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Norway (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event