TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Finlandof Switzerland, Finland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$405,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$435,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Switzerland54c199,917$107,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,151.894358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Finland46c103,729$47,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,013.8116442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Finland47c39,000$18,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,6702100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Switzerland54c20,370$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Finland46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.843056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Switzerland53c19,373$10,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,190.331,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b1…83a0backed Finland47c16,596$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,795.74875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+66%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Finland47c16,553$7,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,732.3215949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Switzerland53c14,700$7,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,791250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Finland46c12,500$5,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Finland46c12,222$5,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Switzerland54c11,939$6,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,422.3127044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Finland46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Finland47c8,634$4,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,606.891957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Finland47c6,500$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,464.9433837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Finland70c6,431$4,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.1111949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf61d…48e9backed Finland47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Finland47c4,500$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3852100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Finland47c4,268$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.961154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Finland47c4,170$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.054465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed Finland51c4,088$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea2…73cdbacked Finland47c3,993$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Finland47c3,331$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.2214551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Finland48c2,709$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.996527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Finland46c2,668$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.894438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Finland47c2,432$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.2166552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Finland47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.662748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+73.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Finland50c2,012$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9abf…426cbacked Switzerland54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Switzerland1c1,952$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.02250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Switzerland53c1,886$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5742948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Switzerland57c1,800$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e87…7e40backed Switzerland53c1,669$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Switzerland49c1,662$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed Finland45c1,625$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+76.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Finland47c1,601$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.963444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Switzerland50c1,448$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.361947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Finland44c1,412$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Switzerland53c1,377$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.557533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Switzerland47c1,377$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+111.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Finland45c1,168$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.371936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Switzerland23c1,167$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.0999638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9b…36a7backed Switzerland53c1,160$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Finland46c1,137$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90c6…4fdebacked Finland47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f70…d9e5backed Switzerland55c1,073$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07c0…e56bbacked Finland47c1,068$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.022065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Finland49c1,060$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.2931744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Finland48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6724259.1%143 W · 99 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Finland46c1,036$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.282540%10 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Finland51c1,007$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.283036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Switzerland55c1,006$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.171656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Finland47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303920.5%8 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Finland47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53011061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Finland46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5409353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Switzerland52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6e…b0e0backed Finland47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb607…39bebacked Finland50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x982e…7657backed Switzerland54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Switzerland56c999.98$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.995954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Finland46c999.94$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.973545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+48.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Switzerland53c986.78$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.992445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3d…e6acbacked Switzerland54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Switzerland55c909$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.952147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb67…c4d1backed Switzerland53c900.58$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Finland57c894.56$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.662263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x176f…cd75backed Switzerland58c859.36$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Switzerland55c853.48$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.855655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…6548backed Finland48c809.85$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.12540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Finland45c799.99$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.9910346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa08c…e9fabacked Finland58c775.41$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1579…3892backed Switzerland51c773.8$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Switzerland54c765.19$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.21861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8590…f9c6backed Switzerland53c756$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.28166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2797…044cbacked Switzerland54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Switzerland54c731.3$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Switzerland49c724.91$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.712236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Finland47c702.79$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.891,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ae…97ccbacked Switzerland54c694.8$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.19450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e2…ffd9backed Switzerland57c691.58$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Finland48c625.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.016847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Finland47c622.17$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.751656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7538…6ca6backed Finland47c614.47$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.67475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+90.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c21…3bc2backed Switzerland48c599.98$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Finland47c594.3$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.984744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Switzerland53c573.58$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Switzerland53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Switzerland53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+52.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Finland52c564.8$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.81060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked Switzerland54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42b…fb39backed Switzerland53c534.3$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ad…1538backed Switzerland54c522.58$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Switzerland53c520$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756931.9%22 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Finland47c519.57$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1f…c113backed Switzerland58c519.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Finland50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25030845.8%141 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Switzerland54c484.83$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…6fb4backed Finland47c481.87$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Finland48c477.75$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.335444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Finland43c464.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.