TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof Gentle Mates, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic46c17,223$7,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,225.75,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic45c12,137$5,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,640.6984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Gentle Mates54c8,822$4,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,751.247147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed magic45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.9735153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed magic47c6,033$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.4684658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Gentle Mates55c5,405$2,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.7510138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked magic60c4,874$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.233,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked magic56c4,797$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.447,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Gentle Mates54c4,574$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.565444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed magic46c4,425$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.7516653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed magic47c4,247$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.913056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Gentle Mates45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80045058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Gentle Mates54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.956147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed magic51c3,498$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.484,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed magic56c3,054$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.436,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Gentle Mates51c2,909$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.5572453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Gentle Mates53c2,900$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53728248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Gentle Mates53c2,251$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.1231642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Gentle Mates54c2,145$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.74854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Gentle Mates53c2,145$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.9813850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed magic47c2,120$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.7420554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Gentle Mates52c2,002$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.0856732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Gentle Mates34c2,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9755845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked magic49c1,957$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.527552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Gentle Mates54c1,928$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.7910249%50 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Gentle Mates45c1,833$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.2566446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd65…304fbacked Gentle Mates55c1,559$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.943145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Gentle Mates52c1,543$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Gentle Mates44c1,438$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.835940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gentle Mates31c1,357$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.591,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Gentle Mates52c1,323$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68841847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Gentle Mates53c1,309$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69917948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked magic46c1,228$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.761,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Gentle Mates54c1,203$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.760853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed magic72c1,186$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.8223072.6%167 W · 63 L+27.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbf15…2aa9backed magic77c1,162$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.875253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gentle Mates56c1,138$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.261,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Gentle Mates55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Gentle Mates52c1,087$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.2427740.8%113 W · 164 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed magic48c1,037$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.561,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c8…a9ffbacked Gentle Mates56c1,031$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.692835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Gentle Mates48c1,027$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4924,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed magic46c999.97$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9826054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed magic30c997.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.886546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Gentle Mates55c952.08$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.6429044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ea…b907backed magic69c935.31$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked magic55c888$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.69349.5%46 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Gentle Mates54c845.74$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.655536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Gentle Mates53c816.07$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.8421744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates44c799$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.485,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Gentle Mates46c756.01$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.722,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Gentle Mates52c741.15$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.125044%22 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed Gentle Mates56c735.71$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41220349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Gentle Mates54c614.48$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3337245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b0…ab95backed Gentle Mates24c577.92$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.385860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Gentle Mates52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f6…5e11backed Gentle Mates55c543.93$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked magic47c541.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2520643.7%90 W · 116 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic51c538.87$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.555,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Gentle Mates36c520$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.250846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked Gentle Mates39c497.2$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19611636.2%42 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Gentle Mates55c476.43$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.0415756.1%88 W · 69 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked magic47c450$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.594445.7%431 W · 513 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed magic49c447.93$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5764554.4%351 W · 294 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed Gentle Mates46c433.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Gentle Mates53c402.86$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.523447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed magic47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2125,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked magic47c398.1$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6822838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Gentle Mates54c396.3$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21411140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c6…4fdebacked Gentle Mates38c395.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.013259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Gentle Mates54c386$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4435947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked magic62c385.3$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.584,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Gentle Mates22c375.71$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.811,54633.8%523 W · 1,023 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Gentle Mates54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008253.7%44 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec76…a306backed Gentle Mates54c361.11$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Gentle Mates28c354.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.332,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked magic49c348.82$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.310252%53 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc882…0662backed magic52c344.88$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7613333.1%44 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Gentle Mates57c342.95$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4811646.6%54 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Gentle Mates56c327.67$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5948635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Gentle Mates49c321.23$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7645138.4%173 W · 278 L-29.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Gentle Mates55c314$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.74136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Gentle Mates46c312.59$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5478963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbba…c191backed Gentle Mates55c303.09$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.72055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Gentle Mates54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16225248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed magic43c299.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17167651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Gentle Mates54c292.59$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15853034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x341c…f86fbacked Gentle Mates55c278.18$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f61…67ebbacked magic40c259.52$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.523135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf332…e7b3backed Gentle Mates54c258.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd7e…d68fbacked Gentle Mates53c244.81$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.798653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked magic60c238.91$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.771,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked magic25c233$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6430031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Gentle Mates53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12054343.5%236 W · 307 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed magic54c222.3$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1471739.6%284 W · 433 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce7b…5a2cbacked Gentle Mates55c218.2$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Gentle Mates54c210.92$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5816554.5%90 W · 75 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked magic68c210.48$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4815441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Gentle Mates55c209.69$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9448562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Gentle Mates48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.