CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa950a5d31f0c6f1fccb86c28bcc4dddcf3d237a07634c9348859d7f8c5ec4381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof Gentle Mates, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 38c | 4,300$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.91 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 40c | 3,877$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Gentle Mates | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 874.63$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.95 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked magic | 37c | 786.69$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.03 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed Gentle Mates | 74c | 732.89$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.34 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 47c | 610.19$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 554.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.23 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked magic | 52c | 383.9$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 368.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked magic | 47c | 348.32$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed magic | 39c | 343.83$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 318.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Gentle Mates | 16c | 297$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked magic | 48c | 280.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 276.34$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.66 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Gentle Mates | 28c | 268.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed magic | 41c | 239.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Gentle Mates | 74c | 230.46$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.48 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed magic | 39c | 230$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.35 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed magic | 36c | 225.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed magic | 45c | 222.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.54 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed magic | 38c | 219$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked magic | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 204.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Gentle Mates | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked magic | 39c | 192.86$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…f7d8backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 189.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed magic | 34c | 189.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked magic | 49c | 181.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Gentle Mates | 21c | 175.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 169.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed magic | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 150.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 67.5%79 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 144.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Gentle Mates | 39c | 143.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Gentle Mates | 74c | 134.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Gentle Mates | 49c | 126.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic | 51c | 115.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed magic | 35c | 113.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed magic | 60c | 112.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked magic | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked magic | 14c | 109.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked magic | 56c | 108.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x045a…b9a4backed magic | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked magic | 38c | 102$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 101.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked magic | 34c | 101.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 98.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Gentle Mates | 26c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed magic | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…40c4backed magic | 44c | 77.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Gentle Mates | 70c | 71.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed magic | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…8eb1backed Gentle Mates | 74c | 57.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Gentle Mates | 70c | 57.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Gentle Mates | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed magic | 27c | 51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 67.8%118 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked Gentle Mates | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked magic | 36c | 32.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…4303backed magic | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 25.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 42c | 25.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked magic | 76c | 24.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…2df3backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 22.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.