CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8bce339e80d957bf1a2404fafb12dd5f2f082f966d75f01c7167334e34fa6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof Gentle Mates, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed magic | 52c | 2,496$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 2,235$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 1,795$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.53 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed magic | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed magic | 52c | 665.97$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 42c | 588$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.31 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked magic | 51c | 566.62$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.89 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Gentle Mates | 49c | 542.86$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Gentle Mates | 39c | 511.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates | 49c | 433.34$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.31 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Gentle Mates | 49c | 414.22$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.53 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates | 36c | 360.48$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Gentle Mates | 34c | 291.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed magic | 53c | 249.74$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Gentle Mates | 36c | 239.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 229 | 38.4%88 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Gentle Mates | 69c | 204$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.16 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 203.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed magic | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked magic | 59c | 179.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…9934backed Gentle Mates | 25c | 178.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Gentle Mates | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed magic | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 117 | 67.5%79 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 116.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 108.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 102.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…f7d8backed magic | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 92.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gentle Mates | 14c | 77.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked magic | 55c | 74.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed magic | 78c | 69.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked magic | 23c | 64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Gentle Mates | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Gentle Mates | 28c | 57.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed magic | 54c | 55.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 498 | 66.9%333 W · 165 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 55.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 41.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 41.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed magic | 25c | 41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked magic | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 369 | 42%155 W · 214 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…8eb1backed magic | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed magic | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.