TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FOKUSof FOKUS, Inner Circle Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72aa…90e0backed Inner Circle Esports47c12,611$5,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,866.174,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked FOKUS49c3,686$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.731,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked Inner Circle Esports22c3,150$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.917441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Inner Circle Esports60c1,991$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.7649646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Inner Circle Esports50c1,890$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.621,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Inner Circle Esports33c1,521$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Inner Circle Esports60c1,405$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.262,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FOKUS57c1,267$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.64,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Inner Circle Esports47c1,200$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.9932346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Inner Circle Esports31c1,082$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.462,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Inner Circle Esports20c1,029$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9320562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Inner Circle Esports58c858.99$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.225459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38d6…969fbacked FOKUS26c846.14$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.6911949.6%59 W · 60 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3115…550ebacked FOKUS58c688.41$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd57b…c48fbacked FOKUS53c585.44$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.447062.9%44 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed FOKUS31c558$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.0261034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Esports69c555.59$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.477,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Inner Circle Esports77c533.56$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.5415052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Inner Circle Esports48c522.94$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0122729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FOKUS50c509.67$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.65,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed FOKUS59c505.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8611863.6%75 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked FOKUS28c499.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9929839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed FOKUS46c490.61$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.999045.6%41 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Inner Circle Esports22c460.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8137440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Inner Circle Esports25c450$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.121,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Inner Circle Esports46c436.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed FOKUS46c430.73$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4340141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS49c422.58$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.926,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Inner Circle Esports41c406.15$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8428434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked FOKUS38c404.16$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.961,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FOKUS52c386.71$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.371,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked FOKUS56c367.97$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1966446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Inner Circle Esports32c347.19$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.129934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Inner Circle Esports34c338.24$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11527848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed FOKUS61c330.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2627657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Inner Circle Esports7c308.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0616349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FOKUS63c306.56$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.832,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Inner Circle Esports66c300$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19917246.5%80 W · 92 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed FOKUS66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10220258.9%119 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle Esports36c294.94$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.693,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55e9…bf34backed FOKUS31c293.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5423644.1%104 W · 132 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc534…0c0abacked Inner Circle Esports64c286.49$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.552040%8 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked FOKUS58c282.76$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7635550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked FOKUS36c278.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9558149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Inner Circle Esports38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.062,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Inner Circle Esports53c246.57$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13014939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked FOKUS60c238.33$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3318654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle Esports40c232.93$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.862,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed FOKUS44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2740449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed FOKUS51c202.04$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.121,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed FOKUS42c200$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1172,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Inner Circle Esports51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10221741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Inner Circle Esports51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10264439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Inner Circle Esports51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214545.5%66 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked FOKUS51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0819147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c6…4fdebacked FOKUS21c194.94$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1543259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Inner Circle Esports19c194.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.291,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed FOKUS52c193.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.388751.7%45 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Inner Circle Esports57c193.1$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.157958.2%46 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed FOKUS52c192.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6948562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef0…88abbacked FOKUS34c192.21$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.494537.8%17 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…6ac0backed Inner Circle Esports52c192$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.429252.2%48 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b2…4ec3backed FOKUS52c190.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.717164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7c5…2353backed Inner Circle Esports53c186.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997250%36 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Inner Circle Esports50c179.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.755,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Inner Circle Esports56c178.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle Esports63c173.78$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.884,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Inner Circle Esports53c166.81$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4336440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed FOKUS31c165.37$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3991743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS55c163.01$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.184,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS45c160.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.544,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Inner Circle Esports51c160.28$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7418432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5147…f078backed FOKUS43c159.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.28645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed FOKUS69c155.43$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4323757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed FOKUS27c152.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.738835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed FOKUS42c141.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4529455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked FOKUS78c138.44$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7631845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed FOKUS76c134$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4829340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked FOKUS55c123.5$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed FOKUS41c122.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.235153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked FOKUS32c121.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1537140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Inner Circle Esports18c120$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.649242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed FOKUS60c116.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.837448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed FOKUS33c105$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.352,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Inner Circle Esports42c105$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.113148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4254…1d02backed Inner Circle Esports35c104.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FOKUS50c103.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked FOKUS69c102$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7235466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Inner Circle Esports23c102$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5231440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aae…0da3backed Inner Circle Esports50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Inner Circle Esports51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517236.1%26 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Inner Circle Esports51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5129347.8%140 W · 153 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Inner Circle Esports51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5137339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Inner Circle Esports51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5133241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked FOKUS44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5626341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Inner Circle Esports53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.918549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed FOKUS51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4918754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked FOKUS35c99.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5780741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa103…db38backed FOKUS67c96.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.497552%39 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked FOKUS48c94.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4422954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.