CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a1348d2c4737ae930ba20c84a142c23c253931560d8d6e9acbed9984d44d2d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof FOKUS, Inner Circle Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Inner Circle Esports | 67c | 2,617$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.91 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked FOKUS | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ecf6backed FOKUS | 55c | 675.14$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.24 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle Esports | 44c | 592.2$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.63 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FOKUS | 26c | 550$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed FOKUS | 20c | 464.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Inner Circle Esports | 68c | 432.62$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.62 | 357 | 49.9%178 W · 179 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed FOKUS | 27c | 410.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked FOKUS | 32c | 399.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 275.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS | 17c | 265.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle Esports | 71c | 167.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed FOKUS | 18c | 148.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS | 10c | 146$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed FOKUS | 25c | 139.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…36f9backed Inner Circle Esports | 68c | 104.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked FOKUS | 47c | 93.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed FOKUS | 34c | 86.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed FOKUS | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked FOKUS | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed FOKUS | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed FOKUS | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Inner Circle Esports | 68c | 28.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Inner Circle Esports | 70c | 28.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked FOKUS | 46c | 26.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 861 | 54.1%466 W · 395 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.