Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e04e0601abd15b82c3e5b3c5ce6f368398400ab6d4f2d5ddf2bf547967e23b

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $324,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $338,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,286 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf742…e039backed Yes	16c	32,164$5,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,256.35	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	65c	18,058$11,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,340.71	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	35c	17,370$6,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,126.29	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	70c	11,959$8,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,549.28	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	64c	11,559$7,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,135.05	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	41c	10,702$4,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,398.38	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes	15c	8,107$1,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,216.06	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	76c	8,021$6,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,942.35	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	72c	7,976$5,734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,242.68	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a9…1652backed No	80c	7,476$5,945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530.41	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6885…c478backed Yes	23c	7,108$1,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,630	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	37c	6,590$2,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,408.31	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes	14c	5,936$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.97	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	33c	4,771$1,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,567.78	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	34c	4,569$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,566.28	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	25c	4,150$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	72c	3,566$2,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.7	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	35c	3,201$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.47	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	35c	2,660$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.94	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	56c	2,607$1,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,154.6	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed No	59c	2,554$1,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,059.32	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes	17c	2,337$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.05	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked Yes	31c	2,237$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No	66c	2,121$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$721.01	508	50%254 W · 254 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes	36c	2,095$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754.31	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	73c	2,050$1,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.77	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	35c	2,012$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709.28	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed No	75c	1,984$1,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.08	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	68c	1,920$1,311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.84	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	25c	1,890$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.06	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	22c	1,704$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	68c	1,701$1,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.21	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes	15c	1,670$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.5	111	65.8%73 W · 38 L	+15.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	77c	1,631$1,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.01	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No	64c	1,527$977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.63	91	61.5%56 W · 35 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	61c	1,517$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.92	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…64b0backed Yes	13c	1,502$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.31	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed No	64c	1,500$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.48	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d18…b702backed Yes	18c	1,470$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.09	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	80c	1,452$1,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.02	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	63c	1,397$886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.75	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d78…6929backed Yes	12c	1,383$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	67c	1,354$907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.26	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe54b…f908backed Yes	36c	1,351$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	56c	1,341$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.18	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…084dbacked Yes	17c	1,291$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	78c	1,214$951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.59	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Yes	17c	1,203$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.52	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	25c	1,193$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.49	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No	64c	1,131$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.73	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…aa0fbacked Yes	19c	1,129$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	75c	1,117$838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.77	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3250…9929backed No	67c	1,090$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.55	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe191…c14bbacked No	66c	1,076$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.76	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Yes	19c	1,053$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	87	25.3%22 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37a5…4512backed Yes	21c	1,031$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	35c	1,020$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.63	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd742…79e4backed Yes	19c	1,014$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.26	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	15c	1,010$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.48	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e51…92bfbacked Yes	43c	1,000$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.75	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	74c	1,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	17c	999.98$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Yes	15c	999.62$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.45	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+13.4wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	29c	986.43$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.23	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd47…aa89backed Yes	36c	972.22$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	28c	960.33$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.69	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1581…ec76backed Yes	19c	907.89$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	56c	897.53$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.53	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	33c	850.94$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.13	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb919…de5fbacked Yes	36c	833.33$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x305e…0ff7backed Yes	19c	826.49$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked Yes	39c	814.89$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.75	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60df…8410backed Yes	36c	792.06$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes	2c	745.22$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d2…c66bbacked Yes	21c	727.8$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	67c	718.57$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.13	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa517…f23bbacked No	58c	708.86$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.72	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	79c	698.71$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.72	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked No	65c	697.92$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.27	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa160…f853backed Yes	17c	694.84$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…d4bcbacked Yes	44c	685.11$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.6	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b88…fffbbacked Yes	45c	671.33$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8577…bc05backed Yes	13c	668.91$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.37	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5178…42f4backed Yes	16c	664.06$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	46c	656.74$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.06	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25bb…97d2backed Yes	16c	646.71$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	119	28.6%34 W · 85 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bd6…10d4backed Yes	36c	600$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	60cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	76c	590.33$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.08	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	26c	580.54$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.68	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5df…8f9bbacked Yes	17c	576.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0b…5b5fbacked Yes	35c	571.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	39c	514.37$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.06	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e1…045bbacked Yes	36c	508.14$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.93	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No	65c	500.18$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.99	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1273…de93backed Yes	17c	500$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes	38c	483$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.37	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf508…6589backed Yes	22c	481.09$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c5…bd53backed Yes	18c	469$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.68	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event