Fifa International · resolved market
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2a23496f5677369e31a306e659f36786fba290f206c858df8940dccb5fc3c72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe64e…124ebacked No | 60c | 2,011$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 58c | 1,971$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.18 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 41c | 1,363$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.26 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 67c | 1,362$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.71 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 60c | 1,354$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.2 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,071$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.34 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 77c | 858$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.95 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c07…48d9backed Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 42c | 499.71$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.83 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 8c | 389$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…c7f2backed No | 53c | 379.65$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 60c | 280$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 24c | 225$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6175…bf94backed Yes | 40c | 192.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…eac8backed Yes | 55c | 181.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 166$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 62c | 166$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 27c | 145.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 66c | 124$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes | 47c | 106.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3966…be5fbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 55c | 88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 66c | 84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…d18bbacked Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 79.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked No | 39c | 77.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 52c | 73.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 66c | 72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 61c | 67.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…cd4ebacked No | 59c | 64.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 60.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 52c | 60.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 60c | 60.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 66c | 58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4e…52f2backed Yes | 38c | 52.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 58c | 51.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…2150backed No | 58c | 48.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed No | 66c | 40.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked No | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…56f8backed Yes | 48c | 23.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3650…d17cbacked No | 66c | 21.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | -29.6wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734b…2a2cbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 64c | 18.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 60c | 17.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 64c | 16.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?this page
- Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?No won
- Will Puma be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.