Fifa International · resolved market
Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd05375bdeae277a1369a80e723dab310ef54335a54874b99bdcdd3c88eb2949
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 46c | 3,301$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.81 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 45c | 2,785$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.84 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 51c | 2,643$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.08 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8469…dab0backed Yes | 25c | 2,023$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 1,174$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.67 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…fd3bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,155$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 53c | 949.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.82 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 43c | 799.78$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.73 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6175…bf94backed Yes | 44c | 733.91$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 22c | 622.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 72c | 602.42$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed No | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 64c | 472.88$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.64 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 23c | 418.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb285…68d3backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 101 | 69.3%70 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 255.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 72c | 225$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…da31backed Yes | 49c | 215$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 31c | 206.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…3c05backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb7…9e8abacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…bb09backed Yes | 53c | 187.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 52c | 182$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 165$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 45c | 163.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 141$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed No | 48c | 127.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…cd4ebacked Yes | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab6…8d16backed Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3650…d17cbacked No | 48c | 111.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 109$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f92…d732backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 323 | 17.6%57 W · 266 L | -43.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…2c40backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…cf82backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…b72ebacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…e6e3backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 57c | 94.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 52c | 87.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed Yes | 56c | 86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 60c | 85.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3670…6e16backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 55c | 78.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 51c | 73.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 39c | 71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed Yes | 52c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 56c | 63.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bff…3709backed Yes | 25c | 62.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed Yes | 25c | 59.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 42c | 56.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…ffcbbacked No | 48c | 56.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb43…2f97backed Yes | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…c6dabacked No | 47c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b3…9a65backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…34c7backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +209.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…2150backed No | 61c | 46.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 37c | 44.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 56c | 44.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 45c | 43.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 272 | 51.8%141 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes | 57c | 43.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4e…52f2backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 56c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…dc01backed No | 47c | 41.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 37c | 38.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 43c | 36.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…95d2backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…390bbacked No | 48c | 35.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…56f8backed No | 54c | 32.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x525a…7f07backed Yes | 52c | 28.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 57c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…109dbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?this page
- Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?Yes won
- Will Puma be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.