TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes46c3,301$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.816048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No45c2,785$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.8428731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes51c2,643$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.086716.4%11 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8469…dab0backed Yes25c2,023$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.261833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes41c1,174$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.671,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…fd3bbacked Yes54c1,155$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.693348.5%16 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56055044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed Yes53c949.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8218636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed No43c799.78$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.7310849.1%53 W · 55 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6175…bf94backed Yes44c733.91$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.13944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes22c622.71$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.732,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No72c602.42$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3921239.6%84 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe373…3736backed No45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No64c472.88$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6445736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes23c418.4$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.234829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed No78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8810169.3%70 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17410847.2%51 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed Yes56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1684434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c255.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.681,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No72c225$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6414858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e1…da31backed Yes49c215$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.355944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes31c206.26$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.452,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb94c…3c05backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305040%20 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10417632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb7…9e8abacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a85…bb09backed Yes53c187.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No52c182$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3616336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No43c165$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8565651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No45c163.77$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3526037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No62c141$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.246047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed No48c127.57$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3413641.2%56 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa4…cd4ebacked Yes57c125$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.251216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab6…8d16backed Yes60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked No48c111.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.786141%25 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No51c109$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0366239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f92…d732backed No46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5532317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x48de…2c40backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26e…cf82backed No46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558525.9%22 W · 63 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c23…e6e3backed No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No57c94.51$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6441231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd399…d13ebacked Yes52c87.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac4…efa0backed Yes56c86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes60c85.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.215455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.223245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3670…6e16backed No49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes55c78.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9611038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3713531.9%43 W · 92 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No51c73.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3221958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No39c71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3115158.3%88 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7437…6e31backed Yes52c67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.113658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2816333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed Yes56c63.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.692045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bff…3709backed Yes25c62.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.71633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed Yes25c59.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.867067.1%47 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed No42c56.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.976622.7%15 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked No48c56.51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.396142.6%26 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb43…2f97backed Yes61c54.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bca…c6dabacked No47c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243040%12 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.515942.1%67 W · 92 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.55450%27 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b3…9a65backed No47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43fd…59d3backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53959%23 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a94…34c7backed No49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+209.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0174…2150backed No61c46.34$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes37c44.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5442737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No56c44.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5418453.8%99 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed No45c43.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7827251.8%141 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes57c43.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.562321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No45c43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7264850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f4e…52f2backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes56c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3161752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb826…dc01backed No47c41.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.03666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes37c38.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2721517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No43c36.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8548438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9f…95d2backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa20b…390bbacked No48c35.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010461.5%64 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed No54c32.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.045125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.714055.7%78 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.728554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x525a…7f07backed Yes52c28.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1946…6367backed No57c21.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.428756.3%49 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2519445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb23b…503fbacked Yes57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb02d…109dbacked Yes56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…494bbacked Yes51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.