CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WOPA Esport vs los kogutos (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcefebd98cb4e38d6924adc6d2646fa7cbd7915c13167b8923225ff9d978a0327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- los kogutosof WOPA Esport, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed WOPA Esport | 61c | 5,874$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583.44 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed los kogutos | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked los kogutos | 39c | 1,700$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed WOPA Esport | 63c | 1,594$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed WOPA Esport | 4c | 1,400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked los kogutos | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.18 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked WOPA Esport | 9c | 977.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked WOPA Esport | 63c | 590.49$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.98 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbd…16d6backed los kogutos | 39c | 549.33$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.09 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed WOPA Esport | 19c | 510.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed los kogutos | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked los kogutos | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked los kogutos | 37c | 486.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed los kogutos | 47c | 374.88$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.88 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…45c4backed WOPA Esport | 53c | 358.49$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked los kogutos | 39c | 346.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.36 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed los kogutos | 39c | 236.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed los kogutos | 37c | 171$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.62 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed WOPA Esport | 10c | 162.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed WOPA Esport | 56c | 155.22$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…eac8backed los kogutos | 68c | 131.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed los kogutos | 39c | 128.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed los kogutos | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed los kogutos | 42c | 123.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed los kogutos | 37c | 117.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed los kogutos | 36c | 113.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed WOPA Esport | 63c | 101.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked WOPA Esport | 28c | 100.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…131cbacked los kogutos | 39c | 80.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked los kogutos | 35c | 77.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed WOPA Esport | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…69f7backed WOPA Esport | 46c | 69.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked los kogutos | 37c | 63.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed los kogutos | 80c | 56.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked WOPA Esport | 71c | 56.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed los kogutos | 74c | 48.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ec…ec61backed los kogutos | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked WOPA Esport | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…2ccabacked los kogutos | 68c | 29.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed los kogutos | 78c | 27.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked los kogutos | 73c | 27.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…1db6backed los kogutos | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WOPA Esport vs los kogutos (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: WOPA Esport vs los kogutos - Map 2 Winnerlos kogutos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.