UFC · resolved market
Fight to Go the Distance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdafe21a7e2347ac8966d538e84417aa3e76b479066d12f1f480dddb41d0abcc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 8,070$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.13 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 78c | 4,631$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.76 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 76c | 3,290$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.5 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 20c | 2,733$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.65 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…7a73backed Yes | 25c | 2,642$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 78c | 2,520$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.39 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 78c | 1,813$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.53 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…3f48backed No | 77c | 1,747$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 23c | 1,407$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.73 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…ce4cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,331$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.65 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 22c | 1,306$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.29 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…8605backed Yes | 22c | 1,286$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…e44dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…e2fbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,040$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf726…7e8bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,040$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4c…995fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,018$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Yes | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…b47abacked No | 77c | 999.98$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 79c | 990.38$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cc…85edbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…f836backed Yes | 23c | 882.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…7f87backed Yes | 22c | 877.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 75c | 844.73$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…2736backed Yes | 24c | 842.37$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 21c | 749.96$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6415…e022backed No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bff…7cd6backed No | 77c | 599.97$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…91bdbacked Yes | 24c | 584.06$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 76c | 533.74$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed No | 79c | 510$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked No | 78c | 499.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes | 21c | 491.87$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222d…90d1backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Yes | 22c | 446.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed No | 78c | 445.6$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…3300backed No | 70c | 443.76$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…952dbacked Yes | 22c | 434.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 423.73$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 21c | 399.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…9a36backed No | 77c | 399.98$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 11c | 399.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0d31backed Yes | 24c | 383.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…dd88backed Yes | 22c | 383.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2442backed No | 79c | 354.67$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…41fabacked Yes | 23c | 340$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…518cbacked No | 77c | 329.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 78c | 318$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1483…48fabacked No | 79c | 315.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 22c | 300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 77c | 296.41$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 282.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 79c | 275.95$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…4fa0backed No | 79c | 267.18$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…92d1backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes | 20c | 249.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 22c | 233.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…d0b2backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 221.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…a581backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc015…46d2backed Yes | 22c | 212.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…7cd9backed No | 79c | 202.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 79c | 196.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…fe48backed Yes | 22c | 178.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 76c | 173.14$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…49c7backed Yes | 29c | 164.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cad…5dd0backed No | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…d89abacked No | 78c | 156.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…7d7cbacked No | 76c | 156.87$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Yes | 10c | 154.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8777…9b72backed No | 79c | 152.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…1b3dbacked No | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +6.6wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f423backed Yes | 24c | 145.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +245.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…aab9backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf224…2cd2backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed No | 80c | 133.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x311c…7e33backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked No | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…8b6dbacked No | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 79c | 127.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…b8e8backed No | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…fe19backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a7…2255backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…e13ebacked Yes | 23c | 113.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b65…9610backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c3…bf88backed Yes | 23c | 108.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…d140backed Yes | 23c | 104$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…0010backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…ec09backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Yes | 21c | 99.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…eac8backed No | 79c | 98.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 23c | 95.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fight to Go the Distance?this page
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway won
- Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.