TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf56b…49c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5042%21 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$75.37
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$43.9
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$14.94
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$118.81
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.89
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$63.73
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+102.5%+$20.51
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+128.6%+$43.76
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.49
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$84.48
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$182.57
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+280.1%+$82.55
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+133.7%+$55.41
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$65.45
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+202.4%+$53.21
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$114.39
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.22
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.83
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$67.67
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.58
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.43
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.82
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.22
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$83.79
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.73
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$93.55
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.16
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.23
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$99.88
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+103%+$71.12
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$27.97
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$151.08
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$40.08
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$319.03
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$233.32
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$255.56
All 6 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$30.45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$50.44
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+150.9%+$52.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.43
TCU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$24.78
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$13.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+109.1%+$133.57
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.