TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$346,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$393,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cda…6e17backed No58c83,637$48,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,509.529450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes42c64,757$26,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,839.8420039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No60c30,187$18,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,188.4621853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No60c27,430$16,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,458.110849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc919…a162backed Yes44c25,949$11,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,599.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes40c19,000$7,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,3203540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No34c13,985$4,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,741.89450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfc…4194backed Yes42c12,758$5,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,399.862653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes40c12,500$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50010737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes42c10,002$4,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,808.086357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No57c8,466$4,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,788.935758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes47c8,287$3,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,416.4227235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No45c8,185$3,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,702.2629253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed No58c8,000$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,639.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes40c6,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes67c5,920$3,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.463450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9007256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes42c4,555$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.94736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Yes46c4,328$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.681631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde03…e629backed Yes42c3,810$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.551729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c3,357$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.424,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No49c3,334$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.5351542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No61c2,895$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.2631655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No24c2,600$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63616737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Yes40c2,597$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.934548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes45c2,316$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.44456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes42c2,200$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.841250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.9741437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2785…1e29backed No61c1,800$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9aa…11f7backed Yes39c1,800$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0982100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick32cpaid+236.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c1,706$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.866,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60069772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9306051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e88…44a2backed Yes68c1,468$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.48825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae0…cf6abacked Yes44c1,439$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes70c1,422$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.4113834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c1,387$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.011,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No59c1,219$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.0311838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes70c1,202$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.518259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Yes41c1,183$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6983231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Yes70c1,181$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes43c1,173$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.812857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No61c1,103$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.0521154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes41c1,092$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.9820646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x697f…8705backed Yes39c999.96$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.971050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed No61c999.92$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.952365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes43c994.64$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.6437840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes44c961.36$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.36650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes42c953.77$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.779537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes68c880.88$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.883647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No60c810.93$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.8179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes72c799$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No47c744.92$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.6710330.1%31 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c4f…61ccbacked Yes41c741$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.19933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+102.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.2914544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…edb3backed Yes68c670.66$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.611553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked No57c666.37$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.831850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9844…5e6cbacked Yes40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes41c609.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7629044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No58c608.62$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09a5…b5c3backed No59c601.69$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes43c588.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.15841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.328137%30 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No61c502.37$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.379263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes80c500.02$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.024360.5%26 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c72…8b8bbacked Yes41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951060%6 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+58%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30521656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29017544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfceb…37dabacked Yes38c499.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes80c499.36$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.873151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes41c487.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.825745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No59c474.58$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Yes67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1329359.1%55 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24815037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12442043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes38c393.47$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9531053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes72c385$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.84168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.2wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+73.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x591b…807cbacked Yes39c384.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed No26c384$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.84287.1%2 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick31cpaid-73.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No60c383$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.842048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9758…caafbacked Yes53c379.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2257443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes41c341.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.465352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda47…95dcbacked Yes39c312.03$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+88.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1748230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806225.8%16 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed No33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4e8…0e6dbacked Yes39c289.64$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e2…a455backed Yes45c268.89$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.891435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes42c268.62$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.84727.7%13 W · 34 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes39c257.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.95234.6%18 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4473…c215backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.419055.6%50 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.415633.9%19 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68fe…8792backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd26b…3d2cbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbef9…58b2backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes39c255.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6529158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes40c250.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.26435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.