Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa69d34aafc6cf6600e8dcac47b786d57963660dff56e261709f4d9c2eea77b43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 10,412$7,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.95 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 7,093$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 6,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 71c | 3,969$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.91 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 78c | 3,509$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.83 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 25c | 2,615$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.15 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 2,414$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.8 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.92 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,392$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 29c | 690.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 28c | 671.94$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.14 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 27c | 568.49$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.49 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 28c | 529.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 516.52$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked No | 72c | 499.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf96…d06ebacked Yes | 28c | 467.86$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 8c | 412.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 77c | 392.78$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 72c | 331.06$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 73c | 280$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…594ebacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 20c | 247.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 77c | 191.78$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 26c | 179.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 22c | 177.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad3…38acbacked Yes | 28c | 175.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 72c | 129.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…89c2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Yes | 18c | 99.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861c…e87abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 74c | 83.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…500abacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed No | 76c | 65.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked Yes | 20c | 61.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 60.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Yes | 27c | 58.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…48edbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…485abacked Yes | 22c | 52.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 27c | 51.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 72c | 48.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…e0c4backed Yes | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 27c | 48.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…d6d7backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 72c | 37.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 36.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…2649backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked No | 72c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…fc22backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.