NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc944e324af1531c6eb13636e109cae5f87268da1763f17f97f4f84be0356f99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Packers, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,327,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,522,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,327,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Packers | 47c | 825,923$391,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391,644.26 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bears | 51c | 476,717$244,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231,819.83 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Bears | 53c | 397,916$210,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187,020.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bears | 46c | 391,407$180,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211,218.31 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Packers | 55c | 370,562$205,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205,592.89 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Bears | 52c | 364,750$189,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,312 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Packers | 48c | 362,613$173,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173,820.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bears | 52c | 347,093$180,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166,604.48 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Bears | 53c | 211,767$111,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,266.01 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Packers | 48c | 180,000$85,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,799.97 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bears | 52c | 132,297$68,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,043.5 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bears | 13c | 113,977$15,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,937.62 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bears | 52c | 112,439$58,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,430.19 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Packers | 48c | 101,000$48,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,480 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bears | 47c | 92,001$43,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,320.82 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bears | 46c | 84,848$38,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,940.47 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bears | 53c | 83,903$44,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,434.2 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Packers | 49c | 80,000$38,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,800 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bears | 52c | 69,551$35,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,677.07 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Packers | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,800 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Packers | 60c | 55,533$33,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,299.22 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Bears | 38c | 55,319$20,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,428.43 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bears | 27c | 52,250$14,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,057.3 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Packers | 77c | 51,859$39,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,819.35 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…05c3backed Packers | 50c | 50,994$25,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,495.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Bears | 53c | 50,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,599.97 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Bears | 50c | 48,230$24,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,981.12 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Packers | 48c | 41,463$19,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,784.37 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Bears | 24c | 41,045$10,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,002.3 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9720backed Packers | 49c | 40,974$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Bears | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bears | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.97 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bears | 25c | 36,641$9,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,342.23 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bears | 22c | 35,544$7,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,840.14 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Packers | 48c | 35,090$16,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,843.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bears | 20c | 30,968$6,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,686.07 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bears | 52c | 30,555$15,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,666.36 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Bears | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…a6e2backed Bears | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfba…6030backed Packers | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bears | 54c | 27,871$15,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,861.38 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Packers | 47c | 27,660$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Bears | 44c | 25,997$11,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,553.92 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Packers | 49c | 25,723$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Packers | 51c | 22,195$11,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,272.48 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Packers | 48c | 22,035$10,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,576.8 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Bears | 30c | 21,466$6,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,097.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bears | 11c | 21,175$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,786.18 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Packers | 62c | 20,299$12,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,636.37 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Packers | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.99 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Packers | 47c | 19,600$9,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,212 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Bears | 52c | 19,310$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,309.81 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Packers | 73c | 17,594$12,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,797.41 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Packers | 48c | 17,333$8,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,320.01 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0f…7b84backed Packers | 56c | 17,293$9,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,648.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bears | 53c | 16,083$8,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,625.85 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Packers | 49c | 15,038$7,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,295.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bears | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Bears | 52c | 14,904$7,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,153.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bears | 53c | 14,000$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,580 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Packers | 53c | 13,485$7,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,190.59 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Packers | 78c | 12,931$10,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,087.04 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb092…449dbacked Bears | 39c | 12,704$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,703.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Packers | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +931.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bears | 52c | 11,996$6,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.17 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Packers | 48c | 11,850$5,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,650.99 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Packers | 51c | 11,844$6,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,031.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bears | 29c | 11,811$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,380.07 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Bears | 50c | 11,254$5,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,626.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Packers | 48c | 10,089$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Bears | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Bears | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Bears | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Packers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bears | 6c | 10,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bears | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.94 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Bears | 61c | 9,950$6,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.21 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Bears | 57c | 9,592$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,148.92 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bears | 38c | 9,217$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,682.39 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bears | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Bears | 40c | 8,899$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,336.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Packers | 48c | 8,307$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.26 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Packers | 49c | 8,232$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.23 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Packers | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Bears | 53c | 7,582$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.61 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…efc3backed Bears | 52c | 7,418$3,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Bears | 42c | 7,400$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.04 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Packers | 76c | 7,395$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625.77 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Packers | 65c | 7,172$4,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,645.24 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Packers | 52c | 6,928$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.31 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Packers | 48c | 6,777$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.87 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…4927backed Bears | 52c | 6,740$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…399bbacked Packers | 49c | 6,735$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Bears | 38c | 6,569$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.34 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Packers | 0c | 6,098$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Packers | 54c | 5,901$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.8 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ba…1e51backed Packers | 46c | 5,739$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…6038backed Bears | 53c | 5,704$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Bears | 45c | 5,561$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.48 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Packers | 56c | 5,340$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.4 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Bearsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bears (-1.5)Packers won
- Emanuel Wilson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- First Touchdown: Josh JacobsNo Touchdown won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5Under won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Bears (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.