NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9951dff1810d8c68a21c344f4d8158dca024d118421ae64736eb5bbe1cd18c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Under | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 15,917$6,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,837.26 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Over | 43c | 11,920$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.17 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 58c | 10,827$6,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.43 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 57c | 9,099$5,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Over | 44c | 6,398$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 51c | 5,986$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.38 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 54c | 3,283$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.18 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 2,685$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.5 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 42c | 2,003$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.26 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,803$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.38 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 1,567$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.49 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Over | 46c | 1,418$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 59c | 1,270$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.82 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 1,217$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.47 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 1,107$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.36 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,107$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.36 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 923$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.27 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 56c | 753$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.32 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 44c | 709$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.96 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 57c | 604.42$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 581.54$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.32 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 499.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 44c | 406$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 50c | 366$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 60c | 333.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.91 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 57c | 302$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Under | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 43c | 273$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 53c | 230$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef1…cf63backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Under | 54c | 203.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 197.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…2a14backed Over | 50c | 121.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 54c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over | 41c | 93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 63.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +14.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…291cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 51c | 49.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…0874backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 52c | 35.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…8666backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…cd07backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…e83dbacked Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bears (-1.5)Packers won
- Emanuel Wilson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- First Touchdown: Josh JacobsNo Touchdown won
- Packers vs. BearsBears won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Bears (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.