NFL · resolved market
Bears vs. Packers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7aa655c5b36c563c2388a1ad2aee7e82c096a4ebe6ce0faa5389516593efb17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Bears, Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,618,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,231,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,618,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 805 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Packers | 74c | 730,880$543,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187,732.43 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…52f4backed Bears | 26c | 651,290$169,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,335.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Packers | 74c | 130,000$96,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,800 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Packers | 73c | 128,999$94,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,829.85 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bears | 26c | 121,176$31,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,371.24 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bears | 24c | 107,182$26,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,087.98 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bears | 27c | 100,634$26,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,811.22 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bears | 25c | 91,362$22,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,727.54 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Packers | 74c | 90,559$66,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,910.91 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Packers | 79c | 87,880$69,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,703.63 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bears | 24c | 74,107$17,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,833.32 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bears | 27c | 70,230$18,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,962.44 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Packers | 74c | 70,000$51,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,200 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Bears | 25c | 59,868$15,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,065.78 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Packers | 74c | 58,252$43,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,163.94 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Bears | 25c | 53,091$13,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,196.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Packers | 74c | 50,000$37,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Bears | 27c | 46,000$12,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,420 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Packers | 74c | 40,790$30,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,623.04 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bears | 25c | 36,522$9,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,065.21 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Bears | 28c | 35,495$9,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,812.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Packers | 78c | 34,454$26,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,737.16 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Packers | 74c | 33,784$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,783.73 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Bears | 13c | 32,808$4,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Packers | 74c | 28,122$20,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,311.83 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bears | 21c | 23,014$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.19 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bears | 26c | 21,953$5,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,707.73 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bears | 25c | 21,840$5,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,469.98 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Packers | 74c | 21,418$15,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,506.57 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bears | 27c | 19,999$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.86 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Packers | 79c | 19,425$15,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.66 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Bears | 26c | 18,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Packers | 73c | 17,813$12,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.18 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Packers | 73c | 17,644$12,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.29 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Bears | 18c | 17,446$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.24 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Packers | 76c | 16,519$12,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.72 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Packers | 73c | 15,813$11,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.96 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bears | 25c | 15,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Packers | 66c | 14,950$9,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Packers | 74c | 13,514$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.51 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Bears | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…ff52backed Bears | 27c | 10,645$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bears | 23c | 10,590$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.08 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Packers | 77c | 10,394$8,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.39 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Bears | 19c | 10,327$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.17 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fc…eebdbacked Bears | 27c | 10,300$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Packers | 74c | 10,191$7,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.66 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Bears | 26c | 10,008$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.07 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Bears | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Packers | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Bears | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Bears | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Bears | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Bears | 26c | 9,051$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bears | 22c | 8,492$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.66 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…033bbacked Bears | 27c | 8,470$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Bears | 27c | 8,280$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.24 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked Bears | 32c | 8,183$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.49 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Bears | 27c | 8,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.97 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed Packers | 73c | 7,998$5,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af5…ea99backed Bears | 27c | 7,598$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bears | 25c | 7,507$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.75 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bears | 27c | 7,407$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Packers | 76c | 7,293$5,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…f24abacked Packers | 79c | 7,281$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Packers | 73c | 7,209$5,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.81 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bears | 26c | 7,122$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.02 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bears | 15c | 7,063$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.67 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed Packers | 72c | 7,031$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Bears | 27c | 7,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…58a6backed Bears | 33c | 6,871$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bears | 26c | 6,666$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Bears | 25c | 6,610$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.02 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Packers | 78c | 6,040$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.77 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…faf4backed Packers | 75c | 6,025$4,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bears | 26c | 5,927$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.67 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…36d5backed Packers | 73c | 5,481$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Packers | 79c | 5,366$4,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.56 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Bears | 27c | 5,185$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Bears | 17c | 5,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Packers | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Bears | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Bears | 26c | 4,932$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bears | 25c | 4,507$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.37 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Bears | 15c | 4,500$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.79 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Bears | 27c | 4,500$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Packers | 78c | 4,428$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.1 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Packers | 74c | 4,421$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.02 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa832…e6febacked Packers | 67c | 4,370$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Bears | 29c | 4,340$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…9b37backed Packers | 73c | 4,320$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Packers | 69c | 4,250$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.5 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Packers | 74c | 4,225$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…b441backed Bears | 16c | 4,196$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked Bears | 26c | 4,100$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Packers | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.05 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bears | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Packers | 71c | 3,880$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.94 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Bears | 26c | 3,847$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.22 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Bears | 27c | 3,706$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.61 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bears vs. Packersthis page
- 1H Spread: Packers (-3.5)Packers won
- Bears vs. Packers: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 34.5Over won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 45.5Over won
- Bears vs. Packers: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Packers (-10.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-5.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-6.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-7.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-9.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.